Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Pohang Steelers to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPohang Steelers to win ✓40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.00
Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers preview and prediction
The match
Incheon United host Pohang Steelers in the K League 1 on Tuesday 12 May, with kick-off at 11:30 (WAT) at Sungui Arena Park. Incheon United are 6th with 49 points from 35 games, while Pohang Steelers sit 9th on 44 points.
Form guide
Incheon United's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Gimcheon Sangmu FC 3–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Pohang Steelers's last 5: WDWLW Most recently they beat Daejeon Citizen 2–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 15 March 2026, finished Pohang Steelers 1–1 Incheon United.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.1 for Incheon United and 1.2 for Pohang Steelers. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Incheon United 36%, draw 25%, Pohang Steelers 40%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Pohang Steelers to win at 2.75 – 40% on our numbers against 36% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Incheon United 1–1 Pohang Steelers. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Incheon United36%fair 2.81 · @2.60
Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.10
Pohang Steelers40%fair 2.51 · @2.75
2.22Expected goals
1.07Incheon United xG
1.15Pohang Steelers xG
56%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Incheon United 1.1 – 1.2 Pohang Steelers expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
On our numbers Incheon United have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Pohang Steelers 40%.
How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–1 Pohang Steelers, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers?
Incheon United vs Pohang Steelers (K League 1) kicks off on Tuesday 12 May 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Sungui Arena Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
