Value bet: Jeju United FC to win @ 3.90 – our chance 34% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +33%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultIncheon United to win ✓42% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓12% · fair 8.62
Incheon United vs Jeju United FC preview and prediction
The match
The K League 1 sees Incheon United take on Jeju United FC on Saturday 25 April, kicking off at 08:30 (WAT) at Sungui Arena Park. Incheon United are 6th with 49 points from 35 games, while Jeju United FC sit 7th on 48 points. Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Incheon United's last 5: WDLWW Most recently they beat Jeonbuk Motors 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Jeju United FC's last 5: WDWWD Most recently they beat Daejeon Citizen 1–0 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Incheon United and 1.1 for Jeju United FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Incheon United 42%, draw 24%, Jeju United FC 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Jeju United FC to win at 3.90 – 34% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Incheon United 1–1 Jeju United FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Incheon United42%fair 2.41 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Jeju United FC34%fair 2.93 · @3.90
2.40Expected goals
1.28Incheon United xG
1.12Jeju United FC xG
53%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Incheon United 1.3 – 1.1 Jeju United FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Incheon United to win✓
42%
2.41
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.93
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.74
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Incheon United / FT Incheon United✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.62
–
Form
Incheon United – last 6
WDLWWL
21 Apr
@ Jeonbuk Motors
2–1
W
18 Apr
@ Bucheon FC 1995
2–2
D
11 Apr
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
2–1
W
22 Mar
@ FC Anyang
1–0
W
18 Mar
vs Daejeon Citizen
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Jeju United FC – last 6
WDWWDL
22 Apr
@ Daejeon Citizen
1–0
W
18 Apr
vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1–1
D
11 Apr
@ Pohang Steelers
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Bucheon FC 1995
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Gangwon FC
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Incheon United and Jeju United FC.
What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?
On our numbers Incheon United have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Jeju United FC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?
Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–1 Jeju United FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Incheon United vs Jeju United FC?
Incheon United vs Jeju United FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 25 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Sungui Arena Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
