Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju FC prediction & analysis
80%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultPohang Steelers to win ✓64% · @1.64
Double chancePohang Steelers or draw ✓87% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓19% · fair 5.40
Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju FC preview and prediction
The match
Gwangju FC travel to Pohang Steel Yard in the K League 1 on Wednesday 22 April (11:30 WAT) to face Pohang Steelers. Pohang Steelers are 9th with 44 points from 35 games, while Gwangju FC sit 12th on 23 points. A gap of 21 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Pohang Steelers's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to FC Anyang 0–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 3 of their last 6. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Gwangju FC's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Ulsan Hyundai FC 1–5 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game.
Pohang Steelers arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.6 for Pohang Steelers and 0.6 for Gwangju FC. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Pohang Steelers 64%, draw 23%, Gwangju FC 13%.
Safer route: Pohang Steelers or draw (87%) at 1.13.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Pohang Steelers 1–0 Gwangju FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Pohang Steelers64%fair 1.57 · @1.64
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.50
Gwangju FC13%fair 7.69 · @5.75
2.16Expected goals
1.61Pohang Steelers xG
0.55Gwangju FC xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–015%
0–012%
1–110%
2–18%
3–08%
From our goals model: Pohang Steelers 1.6 – 0.6 Gwangju FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pohang Steelers to win✓
64%
1.57
1.64
Double chance
Pohang Steelers or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.13
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
65%
1.54
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.24
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pohang Steelers / FT Pohang Steelers✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
19%
5.40
–
Form
Pohang Steelers – last 6
LLWWDL
19 Apr
vs FC Anyang
0–1
L
11 Apr
vs Jeju United FC
0–2
L
4 Apr
vs Daejeon Citizen
1–0
W
28 Mar
vs Gangwon FC
1–0
W
22 Mar
vs Bucheon FC 1995
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs FC Seoul
0–1
L
0.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Gwangju FC – last 6
LLLLDD
19 Apr
@ Ulsan Hyundai FC
1–5
L
11 Apr
vs Bucheon FC 1995
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Gangwon FC
0–3
L
22 Mar
@ FC Seoul
0–5
L
17 Mar
@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pohang Steelers and Gwangju FC.
What is the prediction for Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju FC?
On our numbers Pohang Steelers have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gwangju FC 13%.
How many goals will there be in Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju FC?
Our predicted score is Pohang Steelers 1–0 Gwangju FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju FC?
Pohang Steelers vs Gwangju FC (K League 1) kicks off on Wednesday 22 April 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Pohang Steel Yard.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
