Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC preview and prediction
The match
Jeju United FC host Gimcheon Sangmu FC in the K League 1 on Saturday 18 April, with kick-off at 08:30 (WAT) at Jeju World Cup Stadium. Jeju United FC are 7th with 48 points from 35 games, while Gimcheon Sangmu FC sit 10th on 38 points.
Form guide
Jeju United FC's last 5: WWDLL Most recently they beat Pohang Steelers 2–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last 5: DLDDD Most recently they drew with FC Anyang 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.0 for Jeju United FC and 1.2 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jeju United FC 35%, draw 24%, Gimcheon Sangmu FC 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.73.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Jeju United FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jeju United FC35%fair 2.87 · @2.90
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.25
Gimcheon Sangmu FC41%fair 2.43 · @2.40
2.21Expected goals
1.04Jeju United FC xG
1.17Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
53%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–27%
From our goals model: Jeju United FC 1.0 – 1.2 Gimcheon Sangmu FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win✗
41%
2.43
2.40
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.28
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FT Gimcheon Sangmu FC✗
22%
4.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.83
–
Form
Jeju United FC – last 6
WWDLLL
11 Apr
@ Pohang Steelers
2–0
W
4 Apr
vs Bucheon FC 1995
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Gangwon FC
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs FC Seoul
1–2
L
8 Mar
@ FC Anyang
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 6
DLDDDD
12 Apr
vs FC Anyang
1–1
D
5 Apr
@ Incheon United
1–2
L
22 Mar
@ Ulsan Hyundai FC
0–0
D
17 Mar
vs Gwangju FC
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Daejeon Citizen
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jeju United FC and Gimcheon Sangmu FC.
What is the prediction for Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
On our numbers Jeju United FC have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimcheon Sangmu FC 41%.
How many goals will there be in Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Our predicted score is Jeju United FC 1–1 Gimcheon Sangmu FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC?
Jeju United FC vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC (K League 1) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 08:30 (West Africa Time) at Jeju World Cup Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
