Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultFC Seoul to win ✓68% · @1.57
Double chanceFC Seoul or draw ✓91% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.36
FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC preview and prediction
The match
The K League 1 sees FC Seoul take on Gwangju FC on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 06:00 (WAT) at Seoul World Cup Stadium. FC Seoul are 1st with 67 points from 35 games, while Gwangju FC sit 12th on 23 points. A gap of 44 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
FC Seoul's last 5: WWLLW Most recently they beat Pohang Steelers 1–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Gwangju FC's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.3 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
FC Seoul arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.8 for FC Seoul and 0.5 for Gwangju FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: FC Seoul 68%, draw 23%, Gwangju FC 9%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.67.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: FC Seoul 1–0 Gwangju FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
FC Seoul68%fair 1.47 · @1.57
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.70
Gwangju FC9%fair 11.11 · @6.00
2.24Expected goals
1.75FC Seoul xG
0.49Gwangju FC xG
49%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–019%
2–016%
0–011%
3–010%
1–19%
2–18%
From our goals model: FC Seoul 1.8 – 0.5 Gwangju FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
FC Seoul to win✓
68%
1.47
1.57 ▲
Double chance
FC Seoul or draw✓
91%
1.10
1.11
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Half-time result
FC Seoul ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT FC Seoul / FT FC Seoul✓
43%
2.31
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.36
–
Form
FC Seoul – last 6
WWLLWD
18 Mar
@ Pohang Steelers
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Jeju United FC
2–1
W
11 Mar
@ Vissel Kobe
1–2
L
4 Mar
vs Vissel Kobe
0–1
L
28 Feb
@ Incheon United
2–1
W
17 Feb
vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gwangju FC – last 3
DDD
17 Mar
@ Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Jeju United FC
0–0
D
0.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between FC Seoul and Gwangju FC.
What is the prediction for FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC?
On our numbers FC Seoul have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gwangju FC 9%.
How many goals will there be in FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC?
Our predicted score is FC Seoul 1–0 Gwangju FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC?
FC Seoul vs Gwangju FC (K League 1) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 06:00 (West Africa Time) at Seoul World Cup Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
