Value bet: Daejeon Citizen to win @ 2.88 – our chance 37% vs 35% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultIncheon United to win ✗38% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.27
Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen preview and prediction
The match
The K League 1 sees Incheon United take on Daejeon Citizen on Wednesday 18 March, kicking off at 11:30 (WAT) at Sungui Arena Park. Incheon United are 6th with 49 points from 35 games, while Daejeon Citizen sit 3rd on 53 points.
Form guide
Daejeon Citizen's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–1 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Incheon United and 1.3 for Daejeon Citizen. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 53%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Incheon United 38%, draw 24%, Daejeon Citizen 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 1.83.
Value angle: Daejeon Citizen to win at 2.88 – 37% on our numbers against 35% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Incheon United 1–1 Daejeon Citizen. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Incheon United38%fair 2.61 · @2.45
Draw24%fair 4.12 · @3.20
Daejeon Citizen37%fair 2.67 · @2.88
2.55Expected goals
1.28Incheon United xG
1.26Daejeon Citizen xG
53%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
1–28%
0–08%
From our goals model: Incheon United 1.3 – 1.3 Daejeon Citizen expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Incheon United to win✗
38%
2.61
2.45
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
1.83
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.83
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Incheon United / FT Incheon United✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.27
–
Form
Incheon United – last 2
DL
15 Mar
@ Pohang Steelers
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs FC Seoul
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Daejeon Citizen – last 3
DDD
14 Mar
vs Gimcheon Sangmu FC
1–1
D
7 Mar
@ Bucheon FC 1995
1–1
D
2 Mar
vs FC Anyang
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Incheon United and Daejeon Citizen.
What is the prediction for Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?
On our numbers Incheon United have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Daejeon Citizen 37%.
How many goals will there be in Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?
Our predicted score is Incheon United 1–1 Daejeon Citizen, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen?
Incheon United vs Daejeon Citizen (K League 1) kicks off on Wednesday 18 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Sungui Arena Park.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
