Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultGimcheon Sangmu FC to win ✗57% · @1.83
Double chanceGimcheon Sangmu FC or draw ✓83% · @1.20
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.55
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC preview and prediction
The match
Gwangju FC travel to Gimcheon Stadium in the K League 1 on Tuesday 17 March (11:30 WAT) to face Gimcheon Sangmu FC. Gimcheon Sangmu FC are 10th with 38 points from 35 games, while Gwangju FC sit 12th on 23 points. A gap of 15 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Gimcheon Sangmu FC's last 3: DDD Most recently they drew with Daejeon Citizen 1–1 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.4 for Gimcheon Sangmu FC and 0.8 for Gwangju FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 50%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 57%, draw 26%, Gwangju FC 17%.
Safer route: Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw (83%) at 1.20.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–0 Gwangju FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Gimcheon Sangmu FC57%fair 1.77 · @1.83
Draw26%fair 3.84 · @3.30
Gwangju FC17%fair 5.74 · @4.40
2.25Expected goals
1.44Gimcheon Sangmu FC xG
0.80Gwangju FC xG
50%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–011%
2–19%
0–19%
From our goals model: Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1.4 – 0.8 Gwangju FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimcheon Sangmu FC to win✗
57%
1.77
1.83
Double chance
Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw✓
83%
1.21
1.20
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimcheon Sangmu FC / FT Gimcheon Sangmu FC✗
31%
3.22
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.55
–
Form
Gimcheon Sangmu FC – last 3
DDD
14 Mar
@ Daejeon Citizen
1–1
D
8 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors
1–1
D
28 Feb
vs Pohang Steelers
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Gwangju FC – last 2
DD
14 Mar
vs Jeonbuk Motors
0–0
D
1 Mar
@ Jeju United FC
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimcheon Sangmu FC and Gwangju FC.
What is the prediction for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC?
Our pick is Gimcheon Sangmu FC or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC?
On our numbers Gimcheon Sangmu FC have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Gwangju FC 17%.
How many goals will there be in Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC?
Our predicted score is Gimcheon Sangmu FC 1–0 Gwangju FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC?
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs Gwangju FC (K League 1) kicks off on Tuesday 17 March 2026 at 11:30 (West Africa Time) at Gimcheon Stadium.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
