Al Najma travel to face Al Ahli in the Premier League on Friday 20 February (19:00 WAT). Al Ahli are 5th with 9 points from 7 games (in the top half), while Al Najma sit 8th on 8 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.4 for Al Ahli and 1.2 for Al Najma. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Al Ahli 46%, draw 22%, Al Najma 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.82.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Al Ahli 1–1 Al Najma. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Al Ahli46%fair 2.19 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.55 · @3.10
Al Najma32%fair 3.08 · @2.80
2.59Expected goals
1.44Al Ahli xG
1.15Al Najma xG
52%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–011%
2–19%
0–19%
2–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al Ahli 1.4 – 1.2 Al Najma expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al Ahli to win✓
46%
2.19
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.31
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.94
1.82
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.32
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al Ahli / FT Al Ahli✓
26%
3.90
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.29
–
Form
Al Ahli
No recent results on record.
Al Najma
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al Ahli and Al Najma.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
On our numbers Al Ahli have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Al Najma 32%.
How many goals will there be in Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
Our predicted score is Al Ahli 1–1 Al Najma, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Al Ahli vs Al Najma?
Al Ahli vs Al Najma (Premier League) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
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