Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.42 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.42Odds
2
Value bet: Caracas FC to win @ 3.30 – our chance 34% vs 30% implied by the price (edge +12%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultZamora FC to win ✗43% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.21
Zamora FC vs Caracas FC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Zamora FC take on Caracas FC on Monday 20 April, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT). Zamora FC are 14th with 8 points from 13 games (in the bottom three), while Caracas FC sit 2nd on 6 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Zamora FC's last 5: DLLDL Most recently they drew with Metropolitanos FC 0–0 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.4 per game.
Caracas FC's last 5: WLDWD Most recently they beat Independiente Petrolero 1–0 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Caracas FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 0.4.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for Zamora FC and 1.1 for Caracas FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 41%, both teams to score at 56%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Zamora FC 43%, draw 23%, Caracas FC 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.93.
Value angle: Caracas FC to win at 3.30 – 34% on our numbers against 30% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 66% chance at odds of 1.42. Predicted score: Zamora FC 1–1 Caracas FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Zamora FC43%fair 2.34 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.00
Caracas FC34%fair 2.94 · @3.30
2.31Expected goals
1.24Zamora FC xG
1.07Caracas FC xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Zamora FC 1.2 – 1.1 Caracas FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Zamora FC to win✗
43%
2.34
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.93 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.17
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Zamora FC / FT Zamora FC✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.21
–
Form
Zamora FC – last 5
DLLDL
12 Apr
@ Metropolitanos FC
0–0
D
18 Mar
vs Portuguesa FC
0–2
L
16 Mar
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–2
L
23 Feb
vs Deportivo La Guaira
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Puerto Cabello
0–2
L
0.4Scored / game
1.4Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Caracas FC – last 6
WLDWDW
15 Apr
vs Independiente Petrolero
1–0
W
13 Apr
vs Academia Anzoátegui
1–3
L
9 Apr
@ Botafogo
1–1
D
4 Apr
vs Metropolitanos FC
1–0
W
23 Mar
@ Monagas SC
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Trujillanos FC
4–2
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zamora FC and Caracas FC.
What is the prediction for Zamora FC vs Caracas FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.42.
Who will win Zamora FC vs Caracas FC?
On our numbers Zamora FC have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Caracas FC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Zamora FC vs Caracas FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zamora FC vs Caracas FC?
Our predicted score is Zamora FC 1–1 Caracas FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Zamora FC vs Caracas FC?
Zamora FC vs Caracas FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
