Value bet: Deportivo La Guaira to win @ 1.73 – our chance 61% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportivo La Guaira to win ✗61% · @1.73
Double chanceDeportivo La Guaira or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.25
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo La Guaira host Portuguesa FC in the Primera División on Tuesday 21 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV. Deportivo La Guaira are 2nd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Portuguesa FC sit 4th on 3 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Deportivo La Guaira's last 5: DWDDD Most recently they drew with Bolívar 1–1 away. At home they have won 0 and lost 0 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Portuguesa FC's last 5: DWDWD Most recently they drew with Rayo Zuliano 1–1 at home. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Deportivo La Guaira and 0.7 for Portuguesa FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo La Guaira 61%, draw 23%, Portuguesa FC 15%.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Deportivo La Guaira to win at 1.73 – 61% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 Portuguesa FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo La Guaira61%fair 1.63 · @1.73
Draw23%fair 4.31 · @3.20
Portuguesa FC15%fair 6.52 · @4.75
2.34Expected goals
1.66Deportivo La Guaira xG
0.68Portuguesa FC xG
52%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–013%
1–111%
0–010%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Deportivo La Guaira 1.7 – 0.7 Portuguesa FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportivo La Guaira to win✗
61%
1.63
1.73 ▲
Double chance
Deportivo La Guaira or draw✓
85%
1.18
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.93
1.91
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
57%
1.75
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportivo La Guaira / FT Deportivo La Guaira✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.25
–
Form
Deportivo La Guaira – last 6
DWDDDD
15 Apr
@ Bolívar
1–1
D
10 Apr
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
3–2
W
7 Apr
vs Fluminense
0–0
D
3 Apr
vs Carabobo FC
1–1
D
17 Mar
@ Academia Anzoátegui
0–0
D
14 Mar
vs Puerto Cabello
0–0
D
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Portuguesa FC – last 6
DWDWDL
22 Mar
vs Rayo Zuliano
1–1
D
18 Mar
@ Zamora FC
2–0
W
14 Mar
vs Caracas FC
1–1
D
27 Feb
vs Monagas SC
4–0
W
22 Feb
@ Trujillanos FC
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Academia Anzoátegui
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo La Guaira and Portuguesa FC.
What is the prediction for Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC?
On our numbers Deportivo La Guaira have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Portuguesa FC 15%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC?
Our predicted score is Deportivo La Guaira 1–0 Portuguesa FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC?
Deportivo La Guaira vs Portuguesa FC (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
