Value bet: Metropolitanos FC to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCaracas FC to win ✓42% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓11% · fair 9.16
Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC preview and prediction
The match
Caracas FC host Metropolitanos FC in the Primera División on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT). Caracas FC are 2nd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Metropolitanos FC sit 3rd on 4 points (in the top four). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Caracas FC's last 5: DWDDL Most recently they drew with Monagas SC 1–1 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Metropolitanos FC's last 4: WWWD Most recently they beat Academia Anzoátegui 2–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.3 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Metropolitanos FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.5 points a game against 1.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Caracas FC and 1.2 for Metropolitanos FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Caracas FC 42%, draw 24%, Metropolitanos FC 34%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Metropolitanos FC to win at 3.25 – 34% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 55% chance at odds of 1.80. Predicted score: Caracas FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Caracas FC42%fair 2.40 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @3.10
Metropolitanos FC34%fair 2.94 · @3.25
2.50Expected goals
1.33Caracas FC xG
1.17Metropolitanos FC xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Caracas FC 1.3 – 1.2 Metropolitanos FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Caracas FC to win✓
42%
2.40
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Caracas FC / FT Caracas FC✗
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
11%
9.16
–
Form
Caracas FC – last 5
DWDDL
23 Mar
@ Monagas SC
1–1
D
18 Mar
vs Trujillanos FC
4–2
W
14 Mar
@ Portuguesa FC
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Carabobo FC
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs UCV
1–2
L
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Metropolitanos FC – last 4
WWWD
24 Mar
vs Academia Anzoátegui
2–0
W
19 Mar
vs Monagas SC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Carabobo FC
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
25%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Caracas FC and Metropolitanos FC.
What is the prediction for Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
On our numbers Caracas FC have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Metropolitanos FC 34%.
How many goals will there be in Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Our predicted score is Caracas FC 1–1 Metropolitanos FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC?
Caracas FC vs Metropolitanos FC (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
