Monagas SC host Caracas FC in the Primera División on Monday 23 March, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT). Monagas SC are 4th with 3 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Caracas FC sit 2nd on 6 points (in the top four). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Monagas SC's last 5: LWWLL Most recently they lost to Metropolitanos FC 0–1 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Caracas FC's last 4: WDDL Most recently they beat Trujillanos FC 4–2 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for Monagas SC and 1.2 for Caracas FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Monagas SC 39%, draw 24%, Caracas FC 37%.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Monagas SC 1–1 Caracas FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Monagas SC39%fair 2.55 · @2.55
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.25
Caracas FC37%fair 2.70 · @2.50
2.52Expected goals
1.29Monagas SC xG
1.24Caracas FC xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–010%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–28%
From our goals model: Monagas SC 1.3 – 1.2 Caracas FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monagas SC to win✗
39%
2.55
2.55
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.28
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monagas SC / FT Monagas SC✗
22%
4.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.71
–
Form
Monagas SC – last 5
LWWLL
19 Mar
@ Metropolitanos FC
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Academia Anzoátegui
1–0
W
9 Mar
vs Trujillanos FC
3–1
W
27 Feb
@ Portuguesa FC
0–4
L
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Tachira FC
2–3
L
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
40%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Caracas FC – last 4
WDDL
18 Mar
vs Trujillanos FC
4–2
W
14 Mar
@ Portuguesa FC
1–1
D
28 Feb
@ Carabobo FC
0–0
D
22 Feb
vs UCV
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
75%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monagas SC and Caracas FC.
What is the prediction for Monagas SC vs Caracas FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Monagas SC vs Caracas FC?
On our numbers Monagas SC have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Caracas FC 37%.
How many goals will there be in Monagas SC vs Caracas FC?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monagas SC vs Caracas FC?
Our predicted score is Monagas SC 1–1 Caracas FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Monagas SC vs Caracas FC?
Monagas SC vs Caracas FC (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 23 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
