Value bet: Metropolitanos FC to win @ 1.90 – our chance 60% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultMetropolitanos FC to win ✓60% · @1.90
Double chanceMetropolitanos FC or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.77
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.02
Metropolitanos FC vs Academia Anzoátegui preview and prediction
The match
Academia Anzoátegui travel to Estadio Olimpico de la UCV in the Primera División on Tuesday 24 March (00:00 WAT) to face Metropolitanos FC. Metropolitanos FC are 3rd with 4 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Academia Anzoátegui sit 13th on 8 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Metropolitanos FC's last 3: WWD Most recently they beat Monagas SC 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 0.3 conceded. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Academia Anzoátegui's last 5: DLLLW Most recently they drew with Deportivo La Guaira 0–0 at home. Goals have dried up – just 0.6 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Metropolitanos FC arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.3 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Metropolitanos FC and 0.8 for Academia Anzoátegui. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 54%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Metropolitanos FC 60%, draw 26%, Academia Anzoátegui 14%.
Safer route: Metropolitanos FC or draw (86%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.77.
Value angle: Metropolitanos FC to win at 1.90 – 60% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.28. Predicted score: Metropolitanos FC 1–0 Academia Anzoátegui. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Metropolitanos FC60%fair 1.67 · @1.90
Draw26%fair 3.89 · @3.20
Academia Anzoátegui14%fair 6.91 · @3.90
2.51Expected goals
1.75Metropolitanos FC xG
0.76Academia Anzoátegui xG
54%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–08%
3–07%
From our goals model: Metropolitanos FC 1.8 – 0.8 Academia Anzoátegui expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Metropolitanos FC to win✓
60%
1.67
1.90 ▲
Double chance
Metropolitanos FC or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.84
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
1.28
Half-time result
Metropolitanos FC ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Metropolitanos FC / FT Metropolitanos FC✗
38%
2.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.02
–
Form
Metropolitanos FC – last 3
WWD
19 Mar
vs Monagas SC
1–0
W
1 Mar
@ Deportivo Tachira FC
1–0
W
20 Feb
vs Carabobo FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Academia Anzoátegui – last 5
DLLLW
17 Mar
vs Deportivo La Guaira
0–0
D
15 Mar
@ Monagas SC
0–1
L
8 Mar
vs Puerto Cabello
0–1
L
23 Feb
vs Estudiantes de Merida FC
0–3
L
15 Feb
@ Portuguesa FC
3–0
W
0.6Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Metropolitanos FC and Academia Anzoátegui.
What is the prediction for Metropolitanos FC vs Academia Anzoátegui?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Metropolitanos FC vs Academia Anzoátegui?
On our numbers Metropolitanos FC have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Academia Anzoátegui 14%.
How many goals will there be in Metropolitanos FC vs Academia Anzoátegui?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Metropolitanos FC vs Academia Anzoátegui?
Our predicted score is Metropolitanos FC 1–0 Academia Anzoátegui, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Metropolitanos FC vs Academia Anzoátegui?
Metropolitanos FC vs Academia Anzoátegui (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 24 March 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Olimpico de la UCV.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
