Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.95 – our chance 56% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultPuerto Cabello to win ✗62% · @1.64
Double chancePuerto Cabello or draw ✗86% · @1.11
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.23
Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC preview and prediction
The match
Puerto Cabello host Estudiantes de Merida FC in the Primera División on Saturday 28 February, with kick-off at 00:30 (WAT) at Complejo Deportivo Socialista. Puerto Cabello are 3rd with 6 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Estudiantes de Merida FC sit 9th on 17 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.9 for Puerto Cabello and 0.8 for Estudiantes de Merida FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 56%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Puerto Cabello 62%, draw 24%, Estudiantes de Merida FC 14%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.95 – 56% on our numbers against 51% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Puerto Cabello 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Puerto Cabello62%fair 1.61 · @1.64
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.50
Estudiantes de Merida FC14%fair 7.27 · @5.00
2.76Expected goals
1.94Puerto Cabello xG
0.83Estudiantes de Merida FC xG
56%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Puerto Cabello 1.9 – 0.8 Estudiantes de Merida FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Puerto Cabello to win✗
62%
1.61
1.64
Double chance
Puerto Cabello or draw✗
86%
1.16
1.11
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.25
Half-time result
Puerto Cabello ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Puerto Cabello / FT Puerto Cabello✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.23
–
Form
Puerto Cabello – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs Zamora FC
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Estudiantes de Merida FC – last 2
WL
23 Feb
@ Academia Anzoátegui
3–0
W
13 Feb
vs Rayo Zuliano
1–2
L
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Puerto Cabello and Estudiantes de Merida FC.
What is the prediction for Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
On our numbers Puerto Cabello have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Estudiantes de Merida FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Our predicted score is Puerto Cabello 2–0 Estudiantes de Merida FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC?
Puerto Cabello vs Estudiantes de Merida FC (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 28 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Complejo Deportivo Socialista.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
