Value bet: Monagas SC to win @ 3.20 – our chance 35% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPortuguesa FC to win ✓40% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.97
Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Portuguesa FC take on Monagas SC on Friday 27 February, kicking off at 22:30 (WAT). Portuguesa FC are 4th with 3 points from 5 games (in the top four), while Monagas SC sit 4th on 3 points (in the top four). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Portuguesa FC and 1.2 for Monagas SC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 54%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Portuguesa FC 40%, draw 24%, Monagas SC 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Monagas SC to win at 3.20 – 35% on our numbers against 31% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Portuguesa FC 1–1 Monagas SC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Portuguesa FC40%fair 2.47 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @3.10
Monagas SC35%fair 2.84 · @3.20
2.43Expected goals
1.27Portuguesa FC xG
1.16Monagas SC xG
54%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Portuguesa FC 1.3 – 1.2 Monagas SC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Portuguesa FC to win✓
40%
2.47
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.23
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Portuguesa FC / FT Portuguesa FC✓
22%
4.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
8.97
–
Form
Portuguesa FC – last 2
DL
22 Feb
@ Trujillanos FC
2–2
D
15 Feb
vs Academia Anzoátegui
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Monagas SC – last 1
L
23 Feb
vs Deportivo Tachira FC
2–3
L
2.0Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Portuguesa FC and Monagas SC.
What is the prediction for Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC?
On our numbers Portuguesa FC have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Monagas SC 35%.
How many goals will there be in Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC?
Our predicted score is Portuguesa FC 1–1 Monagas SC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC?
Portuguesa FC vs Monagas SC (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 27 February 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time).
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
