Value bet: Millonarios to win @ 3.60 – our chance 33% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✓44% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.82
America de Cali vs Millonarios preview and prediction
The match
America de Cali host Millonarios in the Primera A on Monday 20 April, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero. America de Cali are 2nd with 36 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Millonarios sit 7th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
America de Cali's last 5: WDWLD Most recently they beat Alianza Atletico 2–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Millonarios's last 5: WLLDW Most recently they beat Boston River 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for America de Cali and 1.1 for Millonarios. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 54%.
Betting angles
Win chances: America de Cali 44%, draw 22%, Millonarios 33%.
Both teams to score: yes (54%) at 1.95.
Value angle: Millonarios to win at 3.60 – 33% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: America de Cali 1–1 Millonarios. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America de Cali44%fair 2.27 · @2.12
Draw22%fair 4.45 · @3.15
Millonarios33%fair 2.99 · @3.60
2.39Expected goals
1.30America de Cali xG
1.08Millonarios xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: America de Cali 1.3 – 1.1 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America de Cali to win✓
44%
2.27
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
54%
1.85
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America de Cali / FT America de Cali✓
24%
4.16
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.82
–
Form
America de Cali – last 6
WDWLDW
16 Apr
vs Alianza Atletico
2–1
W
10 Apr
@ Macara
1–1
D
2 Apr
vs Bucaramanga
2–0
W
31 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
26 Mar
vs Llaneros
0–0
D
20 Mar
@ Águilas Doradas
1–0
W
1.2Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Millonarios – last 6
WLLDWW
16 Apr
vs Boston River
1–0
W
8 Apr
@ O'Higgins
0–2
L
3 Apr
@ Jaguares
0–1
L
31 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–2
D
22 Mar
@ Once Caldas
4–1
W
18 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America de Cali and Millonarios.
What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Millonarios?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win America de Cali vs Millonarios?
On our numbers America de Cali have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Millonarios 33%.
How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Millonarios?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Millonarios?
Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–1 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is America de Cali vs Millonarios?
America de Cali vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 20 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
