Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar prediction & analysis
78%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Internacional de Bogota to win @ 1.67 – our chance 66% vs 60% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultInternacional de Bogota to win ✓66% · @1.67
Double chanceInternacional de Bogota or draw ✓88% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗50% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 6.00
Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar preview and prediction
The match
Internacional de Bogota host Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A on Monday 13 April, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo. Internacional de Bogota are 13th with 20 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Alianza Valledupar sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 2 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Internacional de Bogota's last 5: DLDDW Most recently they drew with Fortaleza FC 1–1 away. They average 1.3 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Alianza Valledupar's last 5: WDLWD Most recently they beat Deportivo Pereira 3–2 away. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.0 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Internacional de Bogota and 0.6 for Alianza Valledupar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 50%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Internacional de Bogota 66%, draw 22%, Alianza Valledupar 12%.
Safer route: Internacional de Bogota or draw (88%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Internacional de Bogota to win at 1.67 – 66% on our numbers against 60% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Internacional de Bogota 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Internacional de Bogota66%fair 1.52 · @1.67
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.40
Alianza Valledupar12%fair 8.39 · @5.60
2.36Expected goals
1.77Internacional de Bogota xG
0.59Alianza Valledupar xG
50%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Internacional de Bogota 1.8 – 0.6 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Internacional de Bogota to win✓
66%
1.52
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Internacional de Bogota or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
50%
2.00
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.22
Half-time result
Internacional de Bogota ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Internacional de Bogota / FT Internacional de Bogota✗
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
6.00
–
Form
Internacional de Bogota – last 6
DLDDWD
4 Apr
@ Fortaleza FC
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Atletico Nacional
0–3
L
19 Mar
vs Deportivo Pereira
2–2
D
6 Mar
@ Llaneros
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Millonarios
3–2
W
15 Feb
@ Deportivo Pasto
1–1
D
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 6
WDLWDD
6 Apr
@ Deportivo Pereira
3–2
W
1 Apr
vs Deportivo Pasto
0–0
D
27 Mar
@ Águilas Doradas
0–1
L
19 Mar
vs Jaguares
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Santa Fe
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Junior
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Internacional de Bogota and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Internacional de Bogota have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Alianza Valledupar 12%.
How many goals will there be in Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Internacional de Bogota 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar?
Internacional de Bogota vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano de Techo.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.