Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas prediction & analysis
83%
Footrivo pick
Once Caldas or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.20 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
2
Value bet: Once Caldas to win @ 1.84 – our chance 58% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultOnce Caldas to win ✗58% · @1.84
Double chanceOnce Caldas or draw ✓83% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.59
Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas preview and prediction
The match
Deportivo Pereira host Once Caldas in the Primera A on Friday 10 April, with kick-off at 21:30 (WAT) at Estadio Hernan Ramírez Villegas. Deportivo Pereira are 17th with 17 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Once Caldas sit 8th on 27 points (in the top half).
Form guide
Deportivo Pereira's last 5: LLLDD Most recently they lost to Alianza Valledupar 2–3 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Once Caldas's last 5: DDLDW Most recently they drew with Independiente Medellin 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Once Caldas arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.3.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 0.9 for Deportivo Pereira and 1.9 for Once Caldas. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 55%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportivo Pereira 17%, draw 25%, Once Caldas 58%.
Safer route: Once Caldas or draw (83%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (55%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Once Caldas to win at 1.84 – 58% on our numbers against 54% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Once Caldas or draw – a 83% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Once Caldas. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportivo Pereira17%fair 5.99 · @4.10
Draw25%fair 4.00 · @3.50
Once Caldas58%fair 1.72 · @1.84
2.77Expected goals
0.91Deportivo Pereira xG
1.86Once Caldas xG
55%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
0–211%
1–111%
1–210%
0–37%
0–06%
From our goals model: Deportivo Pereira 0.9 – 1.9 Once Caldas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Once Caldas to win✗
58%
1.72
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Once Caldas or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.95
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.30
Half-time result
Once Caldas ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.33
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Once Caldas / FT Once Caldas✗
37%
2.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
12%
8.59
–
Form
Deportivo Pereira – last 6
LLLDDL
6 Apr
vs Alianza Valledupar
2–3
L
2 Apr
@ Chico
0–1
L
29 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
0–1
L
24 Mar
vs Cucuta
2–2
D
19 Mar
@ Internacional de Bogota
2–2
D
11 Mar
@ Bucaramanga
0–3
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Once Caldas – last 6
DDLDWW
3 Apr
vs Independiente Medellin
1–1
D
30 Mar
@ Llaneros
1–1
D
22 Mar
vs Millonarios
1–4
L
19 Mar
@ Bucaramanga
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Deportivo Pasto
4–2
W
7 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportivo Pereira and Once Caldas.
What is the prediction for Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas?
Our pick is Once Caldas or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas?
On our numbers Deportivo Pereira have a 17% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Once Caldas 58%.
How many goals will there be in Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas?
Our predicted score is Deportivo Pereira 0–1 Once Caldas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas?
Deportivo Pereira vs Once Caldas (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 10 April 2026 at 21:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Hernan Ramírez Villegas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
