Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.17
Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Deportes Tolima take on Jaguares on Sunday 29 March, kicking off at 00:10 (WAT) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro. Deportes Tolima are 9th with 26 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Jaguares sit 19th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportes Tolima's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Chico 1–1 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jaguares's last 5: DLLLL Most recently they drew with Águilas Doradas 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.5 per game.
Deportes Tolima arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.8 for Deportes Tolima and 0.6 for Jaguares. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 47%. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportes Tolima 1–0 Jaguares. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Tolima66%fair 1.51 · @1.36
Draw21%fair 4.80 · @4.20
Jaguares13%fair 7.84 · @10.25
2.40Expected goals
1.79Deportes Tolima xG
0.61Jaguares xG
47%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
0–09%
2–19%
3–09%
From our goals model: Deportes Tolima 1.8 – 0.6 Jaguares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Tolima to win✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Double chance
Deportes Tolima or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.50
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.25
Half-time result
Deportes Tolima ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Tolima / FT Deportes Tolima✓
42%
2.41
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.17
–
Form
Deportes Tolima – last 6
DWWLWL
23 Mar
@ Chico
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs Fortaleza FC
2–0
W
12 Mar
vs O'Higgins
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ O'Higgins
0–1
L
2 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
1–0
W
23 Feb
@ Cucuta
2–3
L
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Jaguares – last 6
DLLLLL
24 Mar
vs Águilas Doradas
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Alianza Valledupar
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Llaneros
0–2
L
5 Mar
@ Fortaleza FC
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Junior
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Tolima and Jaguares.
What is the prediction for Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
On our numbers Deportes Tolima have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Jaguares 13%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
Our predicted score is Deportes Tolima 1–0 Jaguares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares?
Deportes Tolima vs Jaguares (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 29 March 2026 at 00:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel Murillo Toro.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
