Very strong pick · fair odds 1.25 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Bucaramanga to win @ 1.81 – our chance 64% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultBucaramanga to win ✗64% · @1.81
Double chanceBucaramanga or draw ✗89% · @1.18
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.60
Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Bucaramanga take on Santa Fe on Saturday 28 March, kicking off at 02:10 (WAT) at Estadio Américo Montanini. Bucaramanga are 4th with 32 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Santa Fe sit 5th on 31 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Bucaramanga's last 5: LDWLW Most recently they lost to Junior 0–2 away. They average 1.4 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Santa Fe's last 5: WDDLW Most recently they beat Independiente Medellin 2–1 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.7 for Bucaramanga and 0.6 for Santa Fe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Bucaramanga 64%, draw 24%, Santa Fe 11%.
Safer route: Bucaramanga or draw (89%) at 1.18.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.67.
Value angle: Bucaramanga to win at 1.81 – 64% on our numbers against 55% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 80% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Bucaramanga 1–0 Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Bucaramanga64%fair 1.56 · @1.81
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.30
Santa Fe11%fair 8.81 · @4.65
2.24Expected goals
1.68Bucaramanga xG
0.56Santa Fe xG
47%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–018%
2–015%
0–011%
1–110%
3–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Bucaramanga 1.7 – 0.6 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bucaramanga to win✗
64%
1.56
1.81 ▲
Double chance
Bucaramanga or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.18
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.67
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bucaramanga / FT Bucaramanga✗
40%
2.47
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.60
–
Form
Bucaramanga – last 5
LDWLW
25 Mar
@ Junior
0–2
L
19 Mar
vs Once Caldas
1–1
D
11 Mar
vs Deportivo Pereira
3–0
W
6 Mar
@ America de Cali
1–2
L
1 Mar
@ Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
1.4Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Santa Fe – last 6
WDDLWL
23 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
2–1
W
19 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
1–1
D
15 Mar
vs Alianza Valledupar
1–1
D
26 Feb
vs Atletico Nacional
1–2
L
22 Feb
vs Junior
2–1
W
18 Feb
@ Jaguares
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bucaramanga and Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 80% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Bucaramanga have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Santa Fe 11%.
How many goals will there be in Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Bucaramanga 1–0 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe?
Bucaramanga vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 28 March 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Américo Montanini.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
