Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar prediction & analysis
64%
Footrivo pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
2
Value bet: Alianza Valledupar to win @ 3.65 – our chance 32% vs 27% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultÁguilas Doradas to win ✓45% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.01
Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar preview and prediction
The match
Águilas Doradas host Alianza Valledupar in the Primera A on Friday 27 March, with kick-off at 22:00 (WAT) at Estadio Cincuentenario. Águilas Doradas are 10th with 25 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Alianza Valledupar sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Águilas Doradas's last 3: DLW Most recently they drew with Jaguares 1–1 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Alianza Valledupar's last 5: WDDLD Most recently they beat Jaguares 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.2 for Águilas Doradas and 0.9 for Alianza Valledupar. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 64% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Value angle: Alianza Valledupar to win at 3.65 – 32% on our numbers against 27% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 2.5 goals – a 64% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Águilas Doradas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Águilas Doradas45%fair 2.24 · @2.12
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.10
Alianza Valledupar32%fair 3.12 · @3.65
2.11Expected goals
1.18Águilas Doradas xG
0.93Alianza Valledupar xG
50%Both score
36%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Águilas Doradas 1.2 – 0.9 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Águilas Doradas to win✓
45%
2.24
2.12
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.61
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
1.15
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Águilas Doradas / FT Águilas Doradas✗
24%
4.23
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.01
–
Form
Águilas Doradas – last 3
DLW
24 Mar
@ Jaguares
1–1
D
20 Mar
vs America de Cali
0–1
L
23 Feb
@ Chico
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 5
WDDLD
19 Mar
vs Jaguares
1–0
W
15 Mar
@ Santa Fe
1–1
D
6 Mar
@ Junior
1–1
D
22 Feb
@ Atletico Nacional
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Cucuta
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
60%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas Doradas and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Águilas Doradas have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Alianza Valledupar 32%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Águilas Doradas 1–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar?
Águilas Doradas vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 27 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Cincuentenario.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
