Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 61% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultOnce Caldas to win ✗47% · @2.14
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗10% · fair 9.96
Once Caldas vs Millonarios preview and prediction
The match
The Primera A sees Once Caldas take on Millonarios on Sunday 22 March, kicking off at 00:20 (WAT) at Estadio Palogrande. Once Caldas are 8th with 27 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Millonarios sit 7th on 27 points (in the top half). Only goal difference separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Once Caldas's last 5: DWWWL Most recently they drew with Bucaramanga 1–1 away. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game. 2 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Millonarios's last 5: WLWWW Most recently they beat Atletico Nacional 3–0 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.7 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.5 for Once Caldas and 1.2 for Millonarios. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 50%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Once Caldas 47%, draw 21%, Millonarios 32%.
Both teams to score: yes (61%) at 1.75.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.75 – 61% on our numbers against 57% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 74% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Once Caldas 1–1 Millonarios. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Once Caldas47%fair 2.13 · @2.14
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.40
Millonarios32%fair 3.12 · @3.25
2.72Expected goals
1.52Once Caldas xG
1.20Millonarios xG
61%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Once Caldas 1.5 – 1.2 Millonarios expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Once Caldas to win✗
47%
2.13
2.14
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.75 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.36
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
50%
1.99
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
72%
1.39
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.39
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Once Caldas / FT Once Caldas✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
10%
9.96
–
Form
Once Caldas – last 5
DWWWL
19 Mar
@ Bucaramanga
1–1
D
14 Mar
vs Deportivo Pasto
4–2
W
7 Mar
@ Deportivo Cali
2–0
W
28 Feb
vs Chico
3–0
W
15 Feb
@ Deportes Tolima
1–2
L
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
60%Both scored
60%Over 2.5
Millonarios – last 6
WLWWWL
18 Mar
vs Atletico Nacional
3–0
W
15 Mar
@ Chico
1–2
L
10 Mar
vs Cucuta
2–0
W
5 Mar
@ Atletico Nacional
3–1
W
27 Feb
vs Deportivo Pereira
5–1
W
22 Feb
@ Internacional de Bogota
2–3
L
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Once Caldas and Millonarios.
What is the prediction for Once Caldas vs Millonarios?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Once Caldas vs Millonarios?
On our numbers Once Caldas have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Millonarios 32%.
How many goals will there be in Once Caldas vs Millonarios?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Once Caldas vs Millonarios?
Our predicted score is Once Caldas 1–1 Millonarios, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Once Caldas vs Millonarios?
Once Caldas vs Millonarios (Primera A) kicks off on Sunday 22 March 2026 at 00:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Palogrande.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
