Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.15 – our chance 53% vs 47% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultJunior to win ✗63% · @1.44
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.15
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.82
Junior vs Alianza Valledupar preview and prediction
The match
Alianza Valledupar travel to Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez in the Primera A on Friday 6 March (02:20 WAT) to face Junior. Junior are 14th with 19 points from 18 games (in the bottom half), while Alianza Valledupar sit 16th on 18 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Junior's last 3: WLW Most recently they beat Jaguares 2–0 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.8 for Junior and 0.8 for Alianza Valledupar. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 49%, both teams to score at 53%.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 2.15 – 53% on our numbers against 47% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Junior 2–0 Alianza Valledupar. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Junior63%fair 1.58 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.56 · @4.10
Alianza Valledupar19%fair 5.30 · @7.75
2.66Expected goals
1.83Junior xG
0.83Alianza Valledupar xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–012%
1–111%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Junior 1.8 – 0.8 Alianza Valledupar expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Junior to win✗
63%
1.58
1.44
Double chance
Either team to win✗
82%
1.22
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.15 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.94
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
72%
1.38
1.30
Half-time result
Junior ahead at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Junior / FT Junior✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.82
–
Form
Junior – last 3
WLW
1 Mar
@ Jaguares
2–0
W
22 Feb
@ Santa Fe
1–2
L
19 Feb
vs America de Cali
2–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Alianza Valledupar – last 2
LD
22 Feb
@ Atletico Nacional
0–3
L
17 Feb
vs Cucuta
1–1
D
0.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Junior and Alianza Valledupar.
What is the prediction for Junior vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Junior vs Alianza Valledupar?
On our numbers Junior have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Alianza Valledupar 19%.
How many goals will there be in Junior vs Alianza Valledupar?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Junior vs Alianza Valledupar?
Our predicted score is Junior 2–0 Alianza Valledupar, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Junior vs Alianza Valledupar?
Junior vs Alianza Valledupar (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 6 March 2026 at 02:20 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Metropolitano Roberto Melendez.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
