Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional prediction & analysis
76%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Águilas Doradas to win @ 3.85 – our chance 30% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultAtletico Nacional to win48% · @1.97
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score51% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.11
Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Nacional travel to Estadio Alberto Grisales in the Primera A on Saturday 7 March (22:00 WAT) to face Águilas Doradas. Águilas Doradas are 10th with 25 points from 18 games (in the top half), while Atletico Nacional sit 1st on 39 points (top of the table). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Nacional's last 5: LLWWL Most recently they lost to Millonarios 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.0 for Águilas Doradas and 1.4 for Atletico Nacional. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Águilas Doradas 30%, draw 22%, Atletico Nacional 48%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.90.
Value angle: Águilas Doradas to win at 3.85 – 30% on our numbers against 26% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Águilas Doradas 1–1 Atletico Nacional. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Águilas Doradas30%fair 3.36 · @3.85
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.35
Atletico Nacional48%fair 2.06 · @1.97
2.47Expected goals
1.04Águilas Doradas xG
1.43Atletico Nacional xG
51%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–112%
1–29%
1–09%
0–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Águilas Doradas 1.0 – 1.4 Atletico Nacional expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win
48%
2.06
1.97
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
51%
1.94
1.90
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
70%
1.43
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
55%
1.81
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
76%
1.32
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional
27%
3.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
11.11
–
Form
Águilas Doradas – last 1
W
23 Feb
@ Chico
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atletico Nacional – last 6
LLWWLW
5 Mar
vs Millonarios
1–3
L
2 Mar
@ Deportes Tolima
0–1
L
26 Feb
@ Santa Fe
2–1
W
22 Feb
vs Alianza Valledupar
3–0
W
16 Feb
@ Deportivo Cali
0–1
L
13 Feb
vs Fortaleza FC
4–1
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Águilas Doradas and Atletico Nacional.
What is the prediction for Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional?
On our numbers Águilas Doradas have a 30% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Atletico Nacional 48%.
How many goals will there be in Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional?
Our predicted score is Águilas Doradas 1–1 Atletico Nacional, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional?
Águilas Doradas vs Atletico Nacional (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 7 March 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Alberto Grisales.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
