Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.48 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.48Odds
1
Value bet: Jaguares to win @ 3.50 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultSanta Fe to win ✗46% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗80% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗13% · fair 7.70
Jaguares vs Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
Jaguares host Santa Fe in the Primera A on Wednesday 18 February, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio Jaraguay. Jaguares are 19th with 13 points from 18 games (in the bottom three), while Santa Fe sit 5th on 31 points (in the top half). A gap of 18 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.0 for Jaguares and 1.3 for Santa Fe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 39%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Jaguares 32%, draw 23%, Santa Fe 46%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 2.10.
Value angle: Jaguares to win at 3.50 – 32% on our numbers against 29% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 65% chance at odds of 1.48. Predicted score: Jaguares 1–1 Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Jaguares32%fair 3.14 · @3.50
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Santa Fe46%fair 2.19 · @2.16
2.29Expected goals
1.01Jaguares xG
1.29Santa Fe xG
51%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–113%
1–010%
0–010%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Jaguares 1.0 – 1.3 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santa Fe to win✗
46%
2.19
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.10 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.53
1.48
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.53
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
80%
1.25
1.18
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Santa Fe / FT Santa Fe✗
25%
4.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
13%
7.70
–
Form
Jaguares
No recent results on record.
Santa Fe – last 1
L
14 Feb
@ America de Cali
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Jaguares and Santa Fe.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.48.
Who will win Jaguares vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers Jaguares have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santa Fe 46%.
How many goals will there be in Jaguares vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Jaguares vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is Jaguares 1–1 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Jaguares vs Santa Fe?
Jaguares vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Wednesday 18 February 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jaraguay.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
