Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Santa Fe to win @ 4.10 – our chance 29% vs 24% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultAmerica de Cali to win ✓48% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓14% · fair 7.28
America de Cali vs Santa Fe preview and prediction
The match
America de Cali host Santa Fe in the Primera A on Saturday 14 February, with kick-off at 02:00 (WAT) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero. America de Cali are 2nd with 36 points from 18 games (in the top four), while Santa Fe sit 5th on 31 points (in the top half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.3 for America de Cali and 0.9 for Santa Fe. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 40%, both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: America de Cali 48%, draw 22%, Santa Fe 29%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Value angle: Santa Fe to win at 4.10 – 29% on our numbers against 24% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: America de Cali 1–0 Santa Fe. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
America de Cali48%fair 2.06 · @1.96
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.15
Santa Fe29%fair 3.44 · @4.10
2.27Expected goals
1.33America de Cali xG
0.94Santa Fe xG
53%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: America de Cali 1.3 – 0.9 Santa Fe expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
America de Cali to win✓
48%
2.06
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.68
1.60
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT America de Cali / FT America de Cali✗
27%
3.75
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
14%
7.28
–
Form
America de Cali
No recent results on record.
Santa Fe
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between America de Cali and Santa Fe.
What is the prediction for America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
On our numbers America de Cali have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Santa Fe 29%.
How many goals will there be in America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
Our predicted score is America de Cali 1–0 Santa Fe, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is America de Cali vs Santa Fe?
America de Cali vs Santa Fe (Primera A) kicks off on Saturday 14 February 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Olimpico Pascual Guerrero.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
