Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓86% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.60
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗17% · fair 5.97
Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Nacional host Fortaleza FC in the Primera A on Friday 13 February, with kick-off at 02:30 (WAT) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Atletico Nacional are 1st with 39 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Fortaleza FC sit 20th on 12 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 27 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.7 for Atletico Nacional and 0.6 for Fortaleza FC. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 49%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Nacional 64%, draw 22%, Fortaleza FC 14%.
Both teams to score: no (51%) at 1.60.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.30. Predicted score: Atletico Nacional 1–0 Fortaleza FC. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Nacional64%fair 1.57 · @1.37
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @4.20
Fortaleza FC14%fair 7.03 · @9.60
2.31Expected goals
1.68Atletico Nacional xG
0.63Fortaleza FC xG
49%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 1.7 – 0.6 Fortaleza FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✓
64%
1.57
1.37
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
86%
1.17
1.05
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
51%
1.95
1.60
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.44
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.83
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.31
1.30
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✓
39%
2.56
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
17%
5.97
–
Form
Atletico Nacional
No recent results on record.
Fortaleza FC
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Nacional and Fortaleza FC.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Fortaleza FC 14%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 1–0 Fortaleza FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC?
Atletico Nacional vs Fortaleza FC (Primera A) kicks off on Friday 13 February 2026 at 02:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
