Double chanceAtletico Nacional or draw ✓88% · @1.03
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗12% · fair 8.16
Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares preview and prediction
The match
Atletico Nacional host Jaguares in the Primera A on Tuesday 7 April, with kick-off at 02:10 (WAT) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot. Atletico Nacional are 1st with 39 points from 18 games (top of the table), while Jaguares sit 19th on 13 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 26 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Atletico Nacional's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with Cucuta 0–0 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Jaguares's last 5: WLDLL Most recently they beat Millonarios 1–0 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Atletico Nacional arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.2 points a game against 0.7.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.2 for Atletico Nacional and 0.8 for Jaguares. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 60% and both teams to score at 53%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Atletico Nacional 69%, draw 19%, Jaguares 12%.
Both teams to score: yes (53%) at 2.00.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Atletico Nacional to win – a 69% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Atletico Nacional 2–0 Jaguares. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Atletico Nacional69%fair 1.44 · @1.20
Draw19%fair 5.28 · @6.00
Jaguares12%fair 8.45 · @14.00
2.97Expected goals
2.19Atletico Nacional xG
0.78Jaguares xG
53%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–012%
1–011%
2–110%
3–09%
1–19%
3–17%
From our goals model: Atletico Nacional 2.2 – 0.8 Jaguares expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atletico Nacional to win✓
69%
1.44
1.20
Double chance
Atletico Nacional or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.15
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.48
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.63
1.65
Half-time result
Atletico Nacional ahead at half-time✗
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atletico Nacional / FT Atletico Nacional✗
46%
2.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
12%
8.16
–
Form
Atletico Nacional – last 6
DWWLWW
2 Apr
vs Cucuta
0–0
D
30 Mar
@ Deportivo Pasto
2–1
W
22 Mar
vs Internacional de Bogota
3–0
W
18 Mar
@ Millonarios
0–3
L
14 Mar
vs Llaneros
2–0
W
11 Mar
@ Junior
4–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Jaguares – last 6
WLDLLL
3 Apr
vs Millonarios
1–0
W
29 Mar
@ Deportes Tolima
1–3
L
24 Mar
vs Águilas Doradas
1–1
D
19 Mar
@ Alianza Valledupar
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs Independiente Medellin
1–2
L
9 Mar
@ Llaneros
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Atletico Nacional and Jaguares.
What is the prediction for Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares?
Our pick is Atletico Nacional to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares?
On our numbers Atletico Nacional have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Jaguares 12%.
How many goals will there be in Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares?
Our predicted score is Atletico Nacional 2–0 Jaguares, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares?
Atletico Nacional vs Jaguares (Primera A) kicks off on Tuesday 7 April 2026 at 02:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Atanasio Girardot.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
