Good pick · fair odds 1.65 · bookmaker 1.70 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.70Odds
2
Value bet: Coquimbo Unido to win @ 2.30 – our chance 47% vs 43% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultCoquimbo Unido to win ✗47% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗9% · fair 10.78
Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido preview and prediction
The match
Coquimbo Unido travel to Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas in the Primera División on Sunday 25 October (16:30 WAT) to face Nublense. Nublense are 10th with 35 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Coquimbo Unido sit 6th on 38 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Nublense's last 5: LWLLL Most recently they lost to Universidad de Chile 0–6 away. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Coquimbo Unido's last 5: WWWLL Most recently they beat Colo Colo 5–2 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.2 per game.
Coquimbo Unido arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.5 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.2 for Nublense and 1.6 for Coquimbo Unido. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 54%, both teams to score at 61%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Coquimbo Unido to win at 2.30 – 47% on our numbers against 43% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 61% chance at odds of 1.70, above our fair price of 1.65, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nublense 1–1 Coquimbo Unido. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nublense31%fair 3.23 · @2.75
Draw22%fair 4.53 · @3.10
Coquimbo Unido47%fair 2.13 · @2.30
2.85Expected goals
1.25Nublense xG
1.60Coquimbo Unido xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
0–27%
1–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Nublense 1.2 – 1.6 Coquimbo Unido expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Coquimbo Unido to win✗
47%
2.13
2.30 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.35 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.46
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Coquimbo Unido / FT Coquimbo Unido✗
27%
3.64
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
9%
10.78
–
Form
Nublense – last 6
LWLLLL
12 Oct
@ Universidad de Chile
0–6
L
26 Sep
vs D. Puerto Montt
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ D. Puerto Montt
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Everton de Vina
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ D. La Serena
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Deportes Limache
0–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Coquimbo Unido – last 6
WWWLLL
11 Oct
vs Colo Colo
5–2
W
7 Oct
vs Cobreloa
2–1
W
23 Sep
@ Cobreloa
2–1
W
16 Sep
vs Huachipato
0–1
L
12 Sep
@ Cobresal
2–3
L
6 Sep
@ Universidad de Chile
2–4
L
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nublense and Coquimbo Unido.
What is the prediction for Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido?
On our numbers Nublense have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Coquimbo Unido 47%.
How many goals will there be in Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido?
Our predicted score is Nublense 1–1 Coquimbo Unido, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido?
Nublense vs Coquimbo Unido (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
