Concepción travel to Estadio La Portada in the Primera División on Saturday 24 October (16:30 WAT) to face D. La Serena. D. La Serena are 9th with 37 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Concepción sit 8th on 38 points (in the top half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
D. La Serena's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Everton de Vina 2–3 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Concepción's last 5: DLLWW Most recently they drew with Union La Calera 1–1 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.3 scored and 0.8 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 19 April 2026, finished Concepción 3–3 D. La Serena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.4 for D. La Serena and 1.3 for Concepción. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 58%.
Betting angles
Win chances: D. La Serena 41%, draw 24%, Concepción 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (58%) at 1.70.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 58% chance at odds of 1.70. Predicted score: D. La Serena 1–1 Concepción. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
D. La Serena41%fair 2.45 · @2.25
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.10
Concepción35%fair 2.86 · @2.88
2.71Expected goals
1.42D. La Serena xG
1.29Concepción xG
58%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
1–09%
2–19%
0–19%
1–28%
2–07%
From our goals model: D. La Serena 1.4 – 1.3 Concepción expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Concepción?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win D. La Serena vs Concepción?
On our numbers D. La Serena have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Concepción 35%.
How many goals will there be in D. La Serena vs Concepción?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. La Serena vs Concepción?
Our predicted score is D. La Serena 1–1 Concepción, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is D. La Serena vs Concepción?
D. La Serena vs Concepción (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Portada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
