Universidad de Chile vs Nublense prediction & analysis
65%
Footrivo pick
Universidad de Chile to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad de Chile to win ✓65% · @1.44
Double chanceUniversidad de Chile or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.41
Universidad de Chile vs Nublense preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Universidad de Chile take on Nublense on Monday 12 October, kicking off at 21:00 (WAT) at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos. Universidad de Chile are 2nd with 51 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Nublense sit 10th on 35 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Universidad de Chile's last 5: LDWWL Most recently they lost to Antofagasta 0–2 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Nublense's last 5: WLLLL Most recently they beat D. Puerto Montt 2–1 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Universidad de Chile arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.5.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.8 for Universidad de Chile and 0.6 for Nublense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 47%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universidad de Chile 65%, draw 24%, Nublense 11%.
Both teams to score: no (53%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Universidad de Chile to win – a 65% chance at odds of 1.44. Predicted score: Universidad de Chile 1–0 Nublense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universidad de Chile65%fair 1.54 · @1.44
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.90
Nublense11%fair 9.04 · @5.50
2.46Expected goals
1.83Universidad de Chile xG
0.63Nublense xG
47%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–09%
From our goals model: Universidad de Chile 1.8 – 0.6 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad de Chile to win✓
65%
1.54
1.44
Double chance
Universidad de Chile or draw✓
89%
1.12
1.12
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.89
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.80
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Universidad de Chile ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad de Chile / FT Universidad de Chile✓
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
16%
6.41
–
Form
Universidad de Chile – last 6
LDWWLL
7 Oct
@ Antofagasta
0–2
L
27 Sep
vs Everton de Vina
1–1
D
13 Sep
@ D. La Serena
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Coquimbo Unido
4–2
W
30 Aug
@ Universidad de Concepcion
1–2
L
23 Aug
vs Colo Colo
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nublense – last 6
WLLLLL
26 Sep
vs D. Puerto Montt
2–1
W
22 Sep
@ D. Puerto Montt
0–2
L
12 Sep
vs Everton de Vina
1–3
L
6 Sep
@ D. La Serena
1–2
L
3 Sep
@ Deportes Limache
0–2
L
30 Aug
vs Concepción
0–1
L
0.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad de Chile and Nublense.
What is the prediction for Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
Our pick is Universidad de Chile to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
On our numbers Universidad de Chile have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Nublense 11%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
Our predicted score is Universidad de Chile 1–0 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Universidad de Chile vs Nublense?
Universidad de Chile vs Nublense (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Nacional Julio Martínez Prádanos.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
