D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile prediction & analysis
59%
Footrivo pick
Universidad de Chile to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.80 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.80Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad de Chile to win ✓59% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓81% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗12% · fair 8.57
D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile preview and prediction
The match
Universidad de Chile travel to Estadio La Portada in the Primera División on Sunday 13 September (19:00 WAT) to face D. La Serena. D. La Serena are 9th with 37 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Universidad de Chile sit 2nd on 51 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
D. La Serena's last 5: WWDWD Most recently they beat Nublense 2–1 at home. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.7 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Universidad de Chile's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Coquimbo Unido 4–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They are scoring freely – 2.0 goals a game.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 March 2026, finished Universidad de Chile 2–2 D. La Serena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 0.9 for D. La Serena and 1.8 for Universidad de Chile. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 60%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: D. La Serena 21%, draw 19%, Universidad de Chile 59%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.62.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Universidad de Chile to win – a 59% chance at odds of 1.80, above our fair price of 1.69, so there is value in it. Predicted score: D. La Serena 0–1 Universidad de Chile. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
D. La Serena21%fair 4.66 · @3.75
Draw19%fair 5.18 · @3.40
Universidad de Chile59%fair 1.69 · @1.80
2.73Expected goals
0.94D. La Serena xG
1.79Universidad de Chile xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–112%
1–111%
0–210%
1–210%
0–07%
0–36%
From our goals model: D. La Serena 0.9 – 1.8 Universidad de Chile expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad de Chile to win✓
59%
1.69
1.80 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
81%
1.24
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.65
1.62
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
51%
1.95
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Universidad de Chile ahead at half-time✗
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad de Chile / FT Universidad de Chile✗
What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile?
Our pick is Universidad de Chile to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.80.
Who will win D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile?
On our numbers D. La Serena have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Universidad de Chile 59%.
How many goals will there be in D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile?
Our predicted score is D. La Serena 0–1 Universidad de Chile, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile?
D. La Serena vs Universidad de Chile (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Portada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.