Value bet: D. La Serena to win @ 3.00 – our chance 38% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion La Calera to win ✗39% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 11.81
Union La Calera vs D. La Serena preview and prediction
The match
Union La Calera host D. La Serena in the Primera División on Monday 31 August, with kick-off at 23:15 (WAT) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan. Union La Calera are 16th with 24 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while D. La Serena sit 9th on 37 points (in the bottom half). A gap of 13 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union La Calera's last 5: DLLWL Most recently they drew with A. Italiano 0–0 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.5 conceded.
D. La Serena's last 5: DWDLD Most recently they drew with Cobresal 3–3 at home. On the road they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 4. They average 1.7 scored and 1.7 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 7 June 2026, finished D. La Serena 0–2 Union La Calera. Across their last 2 meetings Union La Calera have won 1, D. La Serena 1, with 0 draws and 2.5 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.4 for Union La Calera and 1.4 for D. La Serena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 59%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union La Calera 39%, draw 23%, D. La Serena 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.65.
Value angle: D. La Serena to win at 3.00 – 38% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Union La Calera 1–1 D. La Serena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union La Calera39%fair 2.54 · @2.15
Draw23%fair 4.41 · @3.45
D. La Serena38%fair 2.64 · @3.00
2.85Expected goals
1.44Union La Calera xG
1.41D. La Serena xG
59%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–112%
2–18%
1–08%
1–28%
0–18%
2–06%
From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.4 – 1.4 D. La Serena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs D. La Serena?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union La Calera vs D. La Serena?
On our numbers Union La Calera have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and D. La Serena 38%.
How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs D. La Serena?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs D. La Serena?
Our predicted score is Union La Calera 1–1 D. La Serena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Union La Calera vs D. La Serena?
Union La Calera vs D. La Serena (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 31 August 2026 at 23:15 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
