A. Italiano vs Union La Calera prediction & analysis
82%
Footrivo pick
A. Italiano or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: A. Italiano to win @ 1.88 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultA. Italiano to win ✗58% · @1.88
Double chanceA. Italiano or draw ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.63
A. Italiano vs Union La Calera preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees A. Italiano take on Union La Calera on Saturday 22 August, kicking off at 01:30 (WAT) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida. A. Italiano are 13th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Union La Calera sit 16th on 24 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
A. Italiano's last 5: DDWLW Most recently they drew with Everton de Vina 1–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Union La Calera's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Nublense 1–2 away. On the road they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.3 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 21 March 2026, finished Union La Calera 0–1 A. Italiano. Across their last 2 meetings A. Italiano have won 1, Union La Calera 1, with 0 draws and 2.0 goals per game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.7 for A. Italiano and 0.9 for Union La Calera. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: A. Italiano 58%, draw 24%, Union La Calera 18%.
Safer route: A. Italiano or draw (82%) at 1.22.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.85.
Value angle: A. Italiano to win at 1.88 – 58% on our numbers against 53% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was A. Italiano or draw – a 82% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: A. Italiano 1–0 Union La Calera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
A. Italiano58%fair 1.73 · @1.88
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.35
Union La Calera18%fair 5.47 · @3.90
2.57Expected goals
1.72A. Italiano xG
0.85Union La Calera xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–011%
1–111%
2–110%
0–08%
0–17%
From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.7 – 0.9 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
Our pick is A. Italiano or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
On our numbers A. Italiano have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Union La Calera 18%.
How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
Our predicted score is A. Italiano 1–0 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is A. Italiano vs Union La Calera?
A. Italiano vs Union La Calera (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
