Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.75 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Quick tips for this match
ResultNublense to win ✓66% · @1.75
Double chanceNublense or draw ✓89% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.10
Nublense vs Union La Calera preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Nublense take on Union La Calera on Sunday 16 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas. Nublense are 10th with 35 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Union La Calera sit 16th on 24 points (in the bottom three).
Form guide
Nublense's last 5: DWWLW Most recently they drew with A. Italiano 2–2 away. At home they have won 3 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.5 scored and 1.0 conceded.
Union La Calera's last 5: LWLDW Most recently they lost to Colo Colo 1–2 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Nublense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.8 points a game against 1.2.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 20 February 2026, finished Union La Calera 0–1 Nublense.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.6 goals: 1.9 for Nublense and 0.7 for Union La Calera. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 48%, both teams to score at 52%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nublense 66%, draw 23%, Union La Calera 11%.
Safer route: Nublense or draw (89%) at 1.14.
Both teams to score: yes (52%) at 1.83.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Nublense to win – a 66% chance at odds of 1.75, above our fair price of 1.50, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Nublense 1–0 Union La Calera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nublense66%fair 1.50 · @1.75
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.45
Union La Calera11%fair 9.06 · @4.40
2.63Expected goals
1.95Nublense xG
0.68Union La Calera xG
52%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Nublense 1.9 – 0.7 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nublense vs Union La Calera?
Our pick is Nublense to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Nublense vs Union La Calera?
On our numbers Nublense have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Union La Calera 11%.
How many goals will there be in Nublense vs Union La Calera?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nublense vs Union La Calera?
Our predicted score is Nublense 1–0 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Nublense vs Union La Calera?
Nublense vs Union La Calera (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzún Arenas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
