Wednesday, 11 November 2026 Results recordAccuracyHow it works18+ · Bet responsibly
Primera División · Chile · Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida
2–2
FT

A. Italiano vs Nublense prediction & analysis

76%
Footrivo pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Quick tips for this match

ResultA. Italiano to win ✗43% · @2.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 8.97

A. Italiano vs Nublense preview and prediction

The match

A. Italiano host Nublense in the Primera División on Tuesday 11 August, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida. A. Italiano are 13th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Nublense sit 10th on 35 points (in the bottom half).

Form guide

A. Italiano's last 5: WLWLW Most recently they beat Universidad de Concepcion 1–0 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 1 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.

Nublense's last 5: WWLWD Most recently they beat Rangers de Talca 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.

Head to head

The last meeting, on 15 February 2026, finished Nublense 1–0 A. Italiano.

Goals outlook

Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.3 for A. Italiano and 1.2 for Nublense. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 45%, both teams to score at 56%.

Betting angles

Our prediction

Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: A. Italiano 1–1 Nublense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.

Win chances

A. Italiano43%fair 2.32 · @2.28
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.25
Nublense35%fair 2.86 · @2.90
2.47Expected goals
1.32A. Italiano xG
1.15Nublense xG
56%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Most likely scores

1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
2–18%
0–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.3 – 1.2 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Every market, with fair odds

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultA. Italiano to win ✗43%2.322.28
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓56%1.801.80
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓70%1.431.35
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗55%1.811.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76%1.321.25
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓44%2.25–
Half-time / full-timeHT A. Italiano / FT A. Italiano ✗24%4.26–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11%8.97–

Form

A. Italiano – last 6

WLWLWW
1 Aug@ Universidad de Concepcion1–0W
26 Julvs Universidad de Chile1–2L
11 Jul@ Magallanes1–0W
5 Jul@ Deportes Santa Cruz1–2L
30 Junvs Palestino3–2W
27 Junvs Magallanes2–1W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Nublense – last 6

WWLWDW
5 Augvs Rangers de Talca1–0W
26 Julvs Palestino2–0W
13 Jul@ O'Higgins0–1L
10 Julvs O'Higgins2–1W
5 Julvs Curico Unido2–2D
1 Jul@ Universidad de Concepcion1–0W
1.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

15 Feb 2026Nublense v A. Italiano1–0
A. Italiano vs Nublense head-to-head page →

Primera División table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Colo Colo271944+2961
2Universidad de Chile271566+2551
3U. Catolica271548+1949
4Deportes Limache2712411+840
5Everton de Vina271179+840
6Coquimbo Unido2611510+438
7Palestino2711511+138
8Concepción2711511038
9D. La Serena279108-237
10Nublense279810-1035
11Huachipato269611-733
12O'Higgins279414-1031
13A. Italiano277911-830
14Cobresal277614-1127
15Universidad de Concepcion277515-2726
16Union La Calera276615-1924

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs Nublense?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win A. Italiano vs Nublense?

On our numbers A. Italiano have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nublense 35%.

How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs Nublense?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs Nublense?

Our predicted score is A. Italiano 1–1 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is A. Italiano vs Nublense?

A. Italiano vs Nublense (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 11 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario Municipal de La Florida.

Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.