The Primera División sees Concepción take on U. Catolica on Sunday 2 August, kicking off at 17:30 (WAT) at Municipal de Collao. Concepción are 8th with 38 points from 27 games (in the top half), while U. Catolica sit 3rd on 49 points (in the top four).
Form guide
Concepción's last 5: WWWWL Most recently they beat O'Higgins 2–0 at home. At home they have won 4 and lost 0 of their last 4. They average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
U. Catolica's last 5: DLWWW Most recently they drew with D. La Serena 3–3 at home. They are scoring freely – 2.3 goals a game.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.3 for Concepción and 1.7 for U. Catolica. Expect chances at both ends: over 2.5 sits at 54% and both teams to score at 63%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Concepción 31%, draw 21%, U. Catolica 49%.
Both teams to score: yes (63%) at 1.65.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Concepción 1–1 U. Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Concepción31%fair 3.24 · @3.35
Draw21%fair 4.85 · @3.45
U. Catolica49%fair 2.06 · @1.98
2.94Expected goals
1.27Concepción xG
1.67U. Catolica xG
63%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–29%
0–19%
0–27%
2–17%
1–07%
From our goals model: Concepción 1.3 – 1.7 U. Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
U. Catolica to win✗
49%
2.06
1.98
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.26
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.59
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
1.35
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT U. Catolica / FT U. Catolica✗
28%
3.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.68
–
Form
Concepción – last 6
WWWWLW
27 Jul
vs O'Higgins
2–0
W
12 Jul
vs D. Puerto Montt
2–0
W
7 Jul
vs Deportes Temuco
2–0
W
2 Jul
@ Huachipato
2–1
W
29 Jun
@ D. Puerto Montt
0–2
L
25 Jun
vs Huachipato
3–2
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
U. Catolica – last 6
DLWWWW
26 Jul
vs D. La Serena
3–3
D
11 Jul
@ San Luis
0–4
L
5 Jul
vs Deportes Copiapo
2–1
W
1 Jul
vs Everton de Vina
2–1
W
28 Jun
vs San Luis
4–2
W
24 Jun
@ Everton de Vina
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Concepción and U. Catolica.
What is the prediction for Concepción vs U. Catolica?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Concepción vs U. Catolica?
On our numbers Concepción have a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and U. Catolica 49%.
How many goals will there be in Concepción vs U. Catolica?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concepción vs U. Catolica?
Our predicted score is Concepción 1–1 U. Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Concepción vs U. Catolica?
Concepción vs U. Catolica (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 2 August 2026 at 17:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Collao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
