Value bet: A. Italiano to win @ 1.94 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +21%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultA. Italiano to win ✗63% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✗82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.25
A. Italiano vs D. La Serena preview and prediction
The match
A. Italiano host D. La Serena in the Primera División on Saturday 13 June, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida. A. Italiano are 13th with 30 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while D. La Serena sit 9th on 37 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
A. Italiano's last 5: DDLWL Most recently they drew with Universidad de Chile 2–2 away. They average 1.0 scored and 1.7 conceded.
D. La Serena's last 5: LLWLD Most recently they lost to Union La Calera 0–2 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 3.0 conceded.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 26 March 2026, finished A. Italiano 3–1 D. La Serena.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.9 goals: 1.9 for A. Italiano and 0.9 for D. La Serena. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 55%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: A. Italiano 63%, draw 18%, D. La Serena 19%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.57.
Value angle: A. Italiano to win at 1.94 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: A. Italiano 2–0 D. La Serena. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
A. Italiano63%fair 1.60 · @1.94
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @3.50
D. La Serena19%fair 5.16 · @3.45
2.89Expected goals
1.95A. Italiano xG
0.94D. La Serena xG
57%Both score
55%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–011%
2–011%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
3–16%
From our goals model: A. Italiano 1.9 – 0.9 D. La Serena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
On our numbers A. Italiano have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 18% and D. La Serena 19%.
How many goals will there be in A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
Our predicted score is A. Italiano 2–0 D. La Serena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is A. Italiano vs D. La Serena?
A. Italiano vs D. La Serena (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 13 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bicentenario de La Florida.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
