Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Palestino to win @ 1.94 – our chance 63% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +23%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultPalestino to win ✗63% · @1.94
Double chancePalestino or draw ✓84% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.73
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗74% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.45
Palestino vs A. Italiano preview and prediction
The match
Palestino host A. Italiano in the Primera División on Monday 1 June, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna. Palestino are 7th with 38 points from 27 games (in the top half), while A. Italiano sit 13th on 30 points (in the bottom half).
Form guide
Palestino's last 5: DWLWW Most recently they drew with Deportivo Riestra 1–1 at home. At home they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded.
A. Italiano's last 5: LWLLD Most recently they lost to Olimpia 1–3 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.2 scored and 1.8 conceded.
Palestino arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.7 points a game against 0.8.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 2.0 for Palestino and 0.9 for A. Italiano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 51%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Palestino 63%, draw 21%, A. Italiano 16%.
Safer route: Palestino or draw (84%) at 1.25.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.73.
Value angle: Palestino to win at 1.94 – 63% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Palestino or draw – a 84% chance at odds of 1.25, above our fair price of 1.19, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Palestino 1–0 A. Italiano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Palestino63%fair 1.58 · @1.94
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @3.35
A. Italiano16%fair 6.34 · @3.65
2.80Expected goals
1.95Palestino xG
0.85A. Italiano xG
56%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–012%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
3–16%
From our goals model: Palestino 2.0 – 0.9 A. Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palestino to win✗
63%
1.58
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Palestino or draw✓
84%
1.19
1.25 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.78
1.73
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
1.93
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.30
Half-time result
Palestino ahead at half-time✗
45%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palestino / FT Palestino✗
40%
2.48
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.45
–
Form
Palestino – last 6
DWLWWL
26 May
vs Deportivo Riestra
1–1
D
24 May
@ Union La Calera
2–1
W
21 May
@ Gremio
0–2
L
16 May
vs D. La Serena
5–1
W
12 May
vs Deportes Limache
3–2
W
6 May
@ Atletico Torque
0–1
L
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
A. Italiano – last 6
LWLLDD
27 May
@ Olimpia
1–3
L
19 May
vs Barracas Central
2–0
W
16 May
@ Coquimbo Unido
0–3
L
6 May
vs Vasco DA Gama
1–2
L
29 Apr
@ Barracas Central
1–1
D
25 Apr
vs Deportes Limache
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Palestino and A. Italiano.
What is the prediction for Palestino vs A. Italiano?
Our pick is Palestino or draw with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Palestino vs A. Italiano?
On our numbers Palestino have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and A. Italiano 16%.
How many goals will there be in Palestino vs A. Italiano?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Palestino vs A. Italiano?
Our predicted score is Palestino 1–0 A. Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Palestino vs A. Italiano?
Palestino vs A. Italiano (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 1 June 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal de La Cisterna.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
