Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultU. Catolica to win ✗66% · @1.43
Double chanceU. Catolica or draw ✗89% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.91
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 8.88
U. Catolica vs Union La Calera preview and prediction
The match
Union La Calera travel to Claro Arena in the Primera División on Tuesday 21 April (01:30 WAT) to face U. Catolica. U. Catolica are 3rd with 49 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Union La Calera sit 16th on 24 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 25 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
U. Catolica's last 5: WLWWL Most recently they beat Cruzeiro 2–1 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 1 of their last 3. Goals have not been a problem: 2.3 per game.
Union La Calera's last 5: WWLDL Most recently they beat Concepción 1–0 at home. They average 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.1 goals: 2.2 for U. Catolica and 0.9 for Union La Calera. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 56% of our simulations. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: U. Catolica 66%, draw 23%, Union La Calera 11%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.91.
Value angle: Both teams to score at 1.91 – 56% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: U. Catolica 2–0 Union La Calera. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
U. Catolica66%fair 1.52 · @1.43
Draw23%fair 4.43 · @4.20
Union La Calera11%fair 8.71 · @6.60
3.07Expected goals
2.21U. Catolica xG
0.87Union La Calera xG
56%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: U. Catolica 2.2 – 0.9 Union La Calera expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
U. Catolica to win✗
66%
1.52
1.43
Double chance
U. Catolica or draw✗
89%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.80
1.80
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.36
Half-time result
U. Catolica ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.02
–
Half-time / full-time
HT U. Catolica / FT U. Catolica✗
45%
2.24
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–0✗
11%
8.88
–
Form
U. Catolica – last 6
WLWWLD
15 Apr
@ Cruzeiro
2–1
W
8 Apr
vs Boca Juniors
1–2
L
2 Apr
vs Palestino
6–1
W
30 Mar
@ Cobresal
3–1
W
25 Mar
@ Nublense
0–1
L
15 Mar
vs Everton de Vina
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Union La Calera – last 6
WWLDLW
14 Apr
vs Concepción
1–0
W
24 Mar
@ Universidad de Chile
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs A. Italiano
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs O'Higgins
3–3
D
6 Mar
@ D. La Serena
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs A. Italiano
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between U. Catolica and Union La Calera.
What is the prediction for U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
On our numbers U. Catolica have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Union La Calera 11%.
How many goals will there be in U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
Our predicted score is U. Catolica 2–0 Union La Calera, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is U. Catolica vs Union La Calera?
U. Catolica vs Union La Calera (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 21 April 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Claro Arena.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
