Value bet: Deportes Limache to win @ 1.94 – our chance 59% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultDeportes Limache to win ✓59% · @1.94
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.65
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.21
Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Concepcion preview and prediction
The match
Deportes Limache host Universidad de Concepcion in the Primera División on Saturday 18 April, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza. Deportes Limache are 4th with 40 points from 27 games (in the top four), while Universidad de Concepcion sit 15th on 26 points (in the bottom three). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Deportes Limache's last 5: LWDDD Most recently they lost to Palestino 0–1 away. They average 1.2 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Universidad de Concepcion's last 5: WLLWW Most recently they beat Cobresal 1–0 at home. They average 1.0 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.8 goals: 1.8 for Deportes Limache and 1.0 for Universidad de Concepcion. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 53%, both teams to score at 60%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Deportes Limache 59%, draw 18%, Universidad de Concepcion 23%.
Both teams to score: yes (60%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Deportes Limache to win at 1.94 – 59% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 76% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Deportes Limache 1–1 Universidad de Concepcion. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Deportes Limache59%fair 1.70 · @1.94
Draw18%fair 5.55 · @3.50
Universidad de Concepcion23%fair 4.33 · @3.45
2.81Expected goals
1.81Deportes Limache xG
1.00Universidad de Concepcion xG
60%Both score
53%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–111%
1–011%
2–110%
2–010%
0–16%
0–06%
From our goals model: Deportes Limache 1.8 – 1.0 Universidad de Concepcion expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Deportes Limache to win✓
59%
1.70
1.94 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
82%
1.22
1.22
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.46
1.36
Half-time result
Deportes Limache ahead at half-time✓
41%
2.43
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Deportes Limache / FT Deportes Limache✓
35%
2.85
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.21
–
Form
Deportes Limache – last 5
LWDDD
12 Apr
@ Palestino
0–1
L
1 Apr
@ Everton de Vina
2–1
W
26 Mar
vs Palestino
1–1
D
23 Mar
@ O'Higgins
1–1
D
23 Feb
@ Universidad de Chile
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
80%Both scored
40%Over 2.5
Universidad de Concepcion – last 6
WLLWWD
13 Apr
vs Cobresal
1–0
W
7 Apr
@ Huachipato
1–5
L
31 Mar
vs Nublense
0–2
L
27 Mar
vs Cobresal
2–1
W
15 Mar
vs Palestino
1–0
W
10 Mar
@ Universidad de Chile
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Deportes Limache and Universidad de Concepcion.
What is the prediction for Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Concepcion?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Concepcion?
On our numbers Deportes Limache have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Universidad de Concepcion 23%.
How many goals will there be in Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Concepcion?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Concepcion?
Our predicted score is Deportes Limache 1–1 Universidad de Concepcion, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Concepcion?
Deportes Limache vs Universidad de Concepcion (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 18 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gustavo Ocaranza.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
