Union La Calera vs Concepción preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Union La Calera take on Concepción on Tuesday 14 April, kicking off at 01:00 (WAT) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan. Union La Calera are 16th with 24 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while Concepción sit 8th on 38 points (in the top half). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Union La Calera's last 5: WLDLW Most recently they beat Universidad de Chile 1–0 away. At home they have won 1 and lost 2 of their last 4. They average 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Concepción's last 5: LLLLD Most recently they lost to Coquimbo Unido 1–2 away. On the road they have won 0 and lost 3 of their last 3. Goals have dried up – just 0.7 per game.
Union La Calera arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.2.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.4 for Union La Calera and 1.0 for Concepción. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 44%, both teams to score at 56%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union La Calera 48%, draw 22%, Concepción 30%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.22. Predicted score: Union La Calera 1–1 Concepción. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union La Calera48%fair 2.10 · @2.10
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.20
Concepción30%fair 3.29 · @3.30
2.46Expected goals
1.41Union La Calera xG
1.05Concepción xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–19%
2–19%
0–09%
2–08%
From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.4 – 1.0 Concepción expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union La Calera to win✓
48%
2.10
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.77
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.22
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union La Calera / FT Union La Calera✗
27%
3.76
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
12%
8.29
–
Form
Union La Calera – last 6
WLDLWL
24 Mar
@ Universidad de Chile
1–0
W
21 Mar
vs A. Italiano
0–1
L
16 Mar
vs O'Higgins
3–3
D
6 Mar
@ D. La Serena
0–3
L
28 Feb
vs A. Italiano
3–0
W
20 Feb
vs Nublense
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Concepción – last 6
LLLLDL
29 Mar
@ Coquimbo Unido
1–2
L
25 Mar
vs Colo Colo
1–3
L
14 Mar
@ A. Italiano
0–3
L
7 Mar
vs Nublense
0–2
L
21 Feb
vs Cobresal
1–1
D
15 Feb
@ Universidad de Concepcion
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union La Calera and Concepción.
What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs Concepción?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Union La Calera vs Concepción?
On our numbers Union La Calera have a 48% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Concepción 30%.
How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs Concepción?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs Concepción?
Our predicted score is Union La Calera 1–1 Concepción, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Union La Calera vs Concepción?
Union La Calera vs Concepción (Primera División) kicks off on Tuesday 14 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
