Value bet: Universidad de Concepcion to win @ 1.72 – our chance 64% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad de Concepcion to win ✓64% · @1.72
Double chanceUniversidad de Concepcion or draw ✓84% · @1.15
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.70
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–0 ✗11% · fair 9.42
Universidad de Concepcion vs Cobresal preview and prediction
The match
Universidad de Concepcion host Cobresal in the Primera División on Monday 13 April, with kick-off at 01:00 (WAT) at Municipal de Collao. Universidad de Concepcion are 15th with 26 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while Cobresal sit 14th on 27 points (in the bottom three). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
Universidad de Concepcion's last 5: LLWWD Most recently they lost to Huachipato 1–5 away. At home they have won 2 and lost 2 of their last 4. Goals have dried up – just 0.8 per game.
Cobresal's last 5: LLDLL Most recently they lost to U. Catolica 1–3 at home. On the road they have won 0 and lost 2 of their last 3. They average 1.0 scored and 2.0 conceded.
Universidad de Concepcion arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 1.2 points a game against 0.3.
Head to head
The last meeting, on 27 March 2026, finished Universidad de Concepcion 2–1 Cobresal.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 3.0 goals: 2.1 for Universidad de Concepcion and 0.9 for Cobresal. That suggests an open game – over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score in 59% of our simulations.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universidad de Concepcion 64%, draw 21%, Cobresal 16%.
Safer route: Universidad de Concepcion or draw (84%) at 1.15.
Both teams to score: yes (59%) at 1.70.
Value angle: Universidad de Concepcion to win at 1.72 – 64% on our numbers against 58% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Over 1.5 goals – a 78% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Universidad de Concepcion 2–0 Cobresal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universidad de Concepcion64%fair 1.57 · @1.72
Draw21%fair 4.82 · @3.65
Cobresal16%fair 6.43 · @4.30
3.02Expected goals
2.09Universidad de Concepcion xG
0.93Cobresal xG
59%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
2–011%
1–010%
2–110%
1–19%
3–07%
3–17%
From our goals model: Universidad de Concepcion 2.1 – 0.9 Cobresal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad de Concepcion to win✓
64%
1.57
1.72 ▲
Double chance
Universidad de Concepcion or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.15
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
1.70
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.25
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.80
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Half-time result
Universidad de Concepcion ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.14
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad de Concepcion / FT Universidad de Concepcion✓
What is the prediction for Universidad de Concepcion vs Cobresal?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Universidad de Concepcion vs Cobresal?
On our numbers Universidad de Concepcion have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cobresal 16%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad de Concepcion vs Cobresal?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad de Concepcion vs Cobresal?
Our predicted score is Universidad de Concepcion 2–0 Cobresal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Universidad de Concepcion vs Cobresal?
Universidad de Concepcion vs Cobresal (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 13 April 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Collao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
