Nublense vs Universidad de Chile prediction & analysis
81%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.20
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Universidad de Chile to win @ 2.68 – our chance 45% vs 37% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad de Chile to win45% · @2.68
Double chanceEither team to win78% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score56% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–114% · fair 7.13
Nublense vs Universidad de Chile preview and prediction
The match
Universidad de Chile travel to Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas in the Primera División on Sunday 12 April (22:30 WAT) to face Nublense. Nublense are 10th with 35 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Universidad de Chile sit 2nd on 51 points (in the top four). A gap of 16 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Form guide
Nublense's last 5: DWWDD Most recently they drew with Everton de Vina 0–0 away. They average 1.3 scored and 0.5 conceded. 4 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Universidad de Chile's last 5: WLDDL Most recently they beat A. Italiano 3–1 away. They average 1.5 scored and 1.5 conceded.
Nublense arrive in clearly the better form, averaging 2.0 points a game against 1.0.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.1 goals: 1.0 for Nublense and 1.2 for Universidad de Chile. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 61% likely.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nublense 33%, draw 22%, Universidad de Chile 45%.
Both teams to score: yes (56%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Universidad de Chile to win at 2.68 – 45% on our numbers against 37% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 81% chance at odds of 1.20. Predicted score: Nublense 0–1 Universidad de Chile. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nublense33%fair 3.03 · @2.52
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.10
Universidad de Chile45%fair 2.24 · @2.68
2.13Expected goals
0.95Nublense xG
1.18Universidad de Chile xG
56%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
0–114%
1–113%
0–012%
1–011%
0–28%
1–28%
From our goals model: Nublense 1.0 – 1.2 Universidad de Chile expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad de Chile to win
45%
2.24
2.68 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
56%
1.80
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
65%
1.55
1.40
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
61%
1.64
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
81%
1.24
1.20
Half-time result
Level at half-time
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad de Chile / FT Universidad de Chile
23%
4.28
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1
14%
7.13
–
Form
Nublense – last 6
DWWDDW
5 Apr
@ Everton de Vina
0–0
D
31 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
2–0
W
25 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–0
W
22 Mar
@ Cobresal
1–1
D
16 Mar
vs D. La Serena
2–2
D
7 Mar
@ Concepción
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Universidad de Chile – last 6
WLDDLD
31 Mar
@ A. Italiano
3–1
W
24 Mar
vs Union La Calera
0–1
L
20 Mar
vs D. La Serena
2–2
D
10 Mar
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–1
D
5 Mar
vs Palestino
1–2
L
23 Feb
vs Deportes Limache
2–2
D
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nublense and Universidad de Chile.
What is the prediction for Nublense vs Universidad de Chile?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Nublense vs Universidad de Chile?
On our numbers Nublense have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Universidad de Chile 45%.
How many goals will there be in Nublense vs Universidad de Chile?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nublense vs Universidad de Chile?
Our predicted score is Nublense 0–1 Universidad de Chile, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Nublense vs Universidad de Chile?
Nublense vs Universidad de Chile (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 12 April 2026 at 22:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
