D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina prediction & analysis
77%
Footrivo pick
Under 3.5 goals
Strong pick · fair odds 1.30 · bookmaker 1.25
8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Everton de Vina to win @ 3.15 – our chance 38% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +20%). Bigger price, more risk.
Quick tips for this match
ResultD. La Serena to win38% · @2.16
Double chanceEither team to win76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–011% · fair 8.80
D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina preview and prediction
The match
Everton de Vina travel to Estadio La Portada in the Primera División on Saturday 11 April (20:00 WAT) to face D. La Serena. D. La Serena are 9th with 37 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while Everton de Vina sit 5th on 40 points (in the top half). Only 3 points separate the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
D. La Serena's last 5: LDDWW Most recently they lost to A. Italiano 1–3 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
Everton de Vina's last 5: DLLWD Most recently they drew with Nublense 0–0 at home. On the road they have won 2 and lost 0 of their last 3. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.3 goals: 1.2 for D. La Serena and 1.2 for Everton de Vina. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 43%, both teams to score at 57%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: D. La Serena 38%, draw 24%, Everton de Vina 38%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.80.
Value angle: Everton de Vina to win at 3.15 – 38% on our numbers against 32% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 77% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: D. La Serena 1–1 Everton de Vina. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
D. La Serena38%fair 2.63 · @2.16
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Everton de Vina38%fair 2.64 · @3.15
2.33Expected goals
1.16D. La Serena xG
1.16Everton de Vina xG
57%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: D. La Serena 1.2 – 1.2 Everton de Vina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
D. La Serena to win
38%
2.63
2.16
Double chance
Either team to win
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
57%
1.75
1.80
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
68%
1.47
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
77%
1.30
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT D. La Serena / FT D. La Serena
20%
4.92
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0
11%
8.80
–
Form
D. La Serena – last 6
LDDWWD
26 Mar
@ A. Italiano
1–3
L
20 Mar
@ Universidad de Chile
2–2
D
16 Mar
@ Nublense
2–2
D
6 Mar
vs Union La Calera
3–0
W
27 Feb
@ Cobresal
1–0
W
22 Feb
vs Universidad de Concepcion
1–1
D
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Everton de Vina – last 6
DLLWDW
5 Apr
vs Nublense
0–0
D
1 Apr
vs Deportes Limache
1–2
L
27 Mar
vs O'Higgins
1–2
L
24 Mar
@ Palestino
2–1
W
15 Mar
@ U. Catolica
2–2
D
1 Mar
@ Universidad de Concepcion
3–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between D. La Serena and Everton de Vina.
What is the prediction for D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina?
On our numbers D. La Serena have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Everton de Vina 38%.
How many goals will there be in D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina?
Our predicted score is D. La Serena 1–1 Everton de Vina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina?
D. La Serena vs Everton de Vina (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 11 April 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Portada.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
