Value bet: A. Italiano to win @ 3.60 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultO'Higgins to win ✓41% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · fair 1.27
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.51
O'Higgins vs A. Italiano preview and prediction
The match
O'Higgins host A. Italiano in the Primera División on Saturday 4 April, with kick-off at 00:00 (WAT) at Estadio El Teniente. O'Higgins are 12th with 31 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while A. Italiano sit 13th on 30 points (in the bottom half). Only 1 point separates the two sides, so there is plenty riding on it.
Form guide
O'Higgins's last 5: WWDDL Most recently they beat Palestino 3–1 away. They average 1.7 scored and 1.3 conceded.
A. Italiano's last 5: LWWWL Most recently they lost to Universidad de Chile 1–3 at home. They average 1.5 scored and 1.2 conceded. 3 clean sheets in that run show a solid defence.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.2 for O'Higgins and 1.1 for A. Italiano. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 42%, both teams to score at 51%.
Betting angles
Win chances: O'Higgins 41%, draw 25%, A. Italiano 35%.
Both teams to score: yes (51%) at 1.85.
Value angle: A. Italiano to win at 3.60 – 35% on our numbers against 28% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Both teams to score – a 51% chance at odds of 1.85. Predicted score: O'Higgins 1–1 A. Italiano. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
O'Higgins41%fair 2.44 · @2.00
Draw25%fair 4.07 · @3.00
A. Italiano35%fair 2.90 · @3.60
2.36Expected goals
1.25O'Higgins xG
1.11A. Italiano xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–09%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: O'Higgins 1.2 – 1.1 A. Italiano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
O'Higgins to win✓
41%
2.44
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
75%
1.33
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
46%
2.19
–
Half-time / full-time
HT O'Higgins / FT O'Higgins✗
22%
4.45
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.51
–
Form
O'Higgins – last 6
WWDDLW
31 Mar
@ Palestino
3–1
W
27 Mar
@ Everton de Vina
2–1
W
23 Mar
vs Deportes Limache
1–1
D
16 Mar
@ Union La Calera
3–3
D
12 Mar
@ Deportes Tolima
0–2
L
8 Mar
vs U. Catolica
1–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
A. Italiano – last 6
LWWWLW
31 Mar
vs Universidad de Chile
1–3
L
26 Mar
vs D. La Serena
3–1
W
21 Mar
@ Union La Calera
1–0
W
14 Mar
vs Concepción
3–0
W
28 Feb
@ Union La Calera
0–3
L
22 Feb
vs Everton de Vina
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between O'Higgins and A. Italiano.
What is the prediction for O'Higgins vs A. Italiano?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.
Who will win O'Higgins vs A. Italiano?
On our numbers O'Higgins have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 25% and A. Italiano 35%.
How many goals will there be in O'Higgins vs A. Italiano?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for O'Higgins vs A. Italiano?
Our predicted score is O'Higgins 1–1 A. Italiano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is O'Higgins vs A. Italiano?
O'Higgins vs A. Italiano (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 4 April 2026 at 00:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Teniente.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
