The Primera División sees Nublense take on U. Catolica on Monday 2 March, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas. Nublense are 10th with 35 points from 27 games (in the bottom half), while U. Catolica sit 3rd on 49 points (in the top four). A gap of 14 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.5 goals: 1.2 for Nublense and 1.4 for U. Catolica. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 46%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Nublense 34%, draw 24%, U. Catolica 41%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.77.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 75% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Nublense 1–1 U. Catolica. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Nublense34%fair 2.93 · @3.00
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @3.10
U. Catolica41%fair 2.41 · @2.30
2.55Expected goals
1.20Nublense xG
1.35U. Catolica xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Nublense 1.2 – 1.4 U. Catolica expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
U. Catolica to win✓
41%
2.41
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.76
1.77
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT U. Catolica / FT U. Catolica✗
23%
4.27
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
11%
9.46
–
Form
Nublense – last 2
WW
20 Feb
@ Union La Calera
1–0
W
15 Feb
vs A. Italiano
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
U. Catolica – last 2
WL
22 Feb
vs Coquimbo Unido
3–1
W
15 Feb
@ Cobresal
2–3
L
2.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nublense and U. Catolica.
What is the prediction for Nublense vs U. Catolica?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Nublense vs U. Catolica?
On our numbers Nublense have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 24% and U. Catolica 41%.
How many goals will there be in Nublense vs U. Catolica?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nublense vs U. Catolica?
Our predicted score is Nublense 1–1 U. Catolica, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nublense vs U. Catolica?
Nublense vs U. Catolica (Primera División) kicks off on Monday 2 March 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Nelson Oyarzun Arenas.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
