Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Union La Calera to win @ 2.55 – our chance 44% vs 39% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUnion La Calera to win ✗44% · @2.55
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.31
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 7.30
Union La Calera vs Nublense preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Union La Calera take on Nublense on Friday 20 February, kicking off at 22:00 (WAT) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan. Union La Calera are 16th with 24 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while Nublense sit 10th on 35 points (in the bottom half).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.2 goals: 1.2 for Union La Calera and 1.0 for Nublense. That points to a tight game – under 2.5 goals is 59% likely. Their recent games have mostly stayed under 2.5.
Betting angles
Win chances: Union La Calera 44%, draw 22%, Nublense 34%.
Both teams to score: no (50%) at 1.85.
Value angle: Union La Calera to win at 2.55 – 44% on our numbers against 39% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 79% chance at odds of 1.25. Predicted score: Union La Calera 1–0 Nublense. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Union La Calera44%fair 2.26 · @2.55
Draw22%fair 4.57 · @3.30
Nublense34%fair 2.96 · @2.65
2.15Expected goals
1.18Union La Calera xG
0.97Nublense xG
50%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–014%
1–113%
0–012%
0–111%
2–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Union La Calera 1.2 – 1.0 Nublense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Union La Calera to win✗
44%
2.26
2.55 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.28
1.31
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.85
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.34
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.09
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Union La Calera / FT Union La Calera✗
23%
4.33
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
7.30
–
Form
Union La Calera – last 1
L
16 Feb
@ Colo Colo
0–1
L
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Nublense – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs A. Italiano
1–0
W
1.0Scored / game
0.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Union La Calera and Nublense.
What is the prediction for Union La Calera vs Nublense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Union La Calera vs Nublense?
On our numbers Union La Calera have a 44% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Nublense 34%.
How many goals will there be in Union La Calera vs Nublense?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Union La Calera vs Nublense?
Our predicted score is Union La Calera 1–0 Nublense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Union La Calera vs Nublense?
Union La Calera vs Nublense (Primera División) kicks off on Friday 20 February 2026 at 22:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal Nicolas Chahuan.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
