Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.24 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.24Odds
1
Value bet: Concepción to win @ 1.93 – our chance 64% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultConcepción to win ✗64% · @1.93
Double chanceConcepción or draw ✓87% · @1.24
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.73
Concepción vs Cobresal preview and prediction
The match
The Primera División sees Concepción take on Cobresal on Saturday 21 February, kicking off at 00:30 (WAT) at Municipal de Collao. Concepción are 8th with 38 points from 27 games (in the top half), while Cobresal sit 14th on 27 points (in the bottom three).
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.7 goals: 1.9 for Concepción and 0.8 for Cobresal. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 55%. Recent games involving both sides have mostly gone over 2.5.
Value angle: Concepción to win at 1.93 – 64% on our numbers against 52% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Concepción or draw – a 87% chance at odds of 1.24, above our fair price of 1.15, so there is value in it. Predicted score: Concepción 1–0 Cobresal. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Concepción64%fair 1.56 · @1.93
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.40
Cobresal13%fair 7.79 · @3.90
2.71Expected goals
1.95Concepción xG
0.76Cobresal xG
55%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Concepción 1.9 – 0.8 Cobresal expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Concepción to win✗
64%
1.56
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Concepción or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.24 ▲
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.40
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
53%
1.90
1.63
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.23
Half-time result
Concepción ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Concepción / FT Concepción✗
42%
2.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.73
–
Form
Concepción – last 1
L
15 Feb
@ Universidad de Concepcion
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Cobresal – last 1
W
15 Feb
vs U. Catolica
3–2
W
3.0Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Concepción and Cobresal.
What is the prediction for Concepción vs Cobresal?
Our pick is Concepción or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Concepción vs Cobresal?
On our numbers Concepción have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cobresal 13%.
How many goals will there be in Concepción vs Cobresal?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Concepción vs Cobresal?
Our predicted score is Concepción 1–0 Cobresal, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Concepción vs Cobresal?
Concepción vs Cobresal (Primera División) kicks off on Saturday 21 February 2026 at 00:30 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Collao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
