Value bet: Concepción to win @ 3.00 – our chance 36% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Quick tips for this match
ResultUniversidad de Concepcion to win ✓40% · @2.24
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · @1.65
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗11% · fair 9.15
Universidad de Concepcion vs Concepción preview and prediction
The match
Concepción travel to Municipal de Collao in the Primera División on Sunday 15 February (16:00 WAT) to face Universidad de Concepcion. Universidad de Concepcion are 15th with 26 points from 27 games (in the bottom three), while Concepción sit 8th on 38 points (in the top half). A gap of 12 points shows the difference in quality this season.
Goals outlook
Our model expects about 2.4 goals: 1.3 for Universidad de Concepcion and 1.2 for Concepción. That is close to an average game: over 2.5 at 47%, both teams to score at 57%.
Betting angles
Win chances: Universidad de Concepcion 40%, draw 24%, Concepción 36%.
Both teams to score: yes (57%) at 1.65.
Value angle: Concepción to win at 3.00 – 36% on our numbers against 33% implied by the price.
Our prediction
Our pre-match pick was Under 3.5 goals – a 73% chance at odds of 1.33. Predicted score: Universidad de Concepcion 1–1 Concepción. Bets settle on the 90-minute score. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, bet responsibly.
Win chances
Universidad de Concepcion40%fair 2.50 · @2.24
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.20
Concepción36%fair 2.78 · @3.00
2.45Expected goals
1.27Universidad de Concepcion xG
1.18Concepción xG
57%Both score
47%Over 2.5
Most likely scores
1–113%
1–011%
0–110%
0–09%
2–18%
1–28%
From our goals model: Universidad de Concepcion 1.3 – 1.2 Concepción expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Every market, with fair odds
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Universidad de Concepcion to win✓
40%
2.50
2.24
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
57%
1.74
1.65
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
53%
1.88
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.36
1.33
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.24
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Universidad de Concepcion / FT Universidad de Concepcion✗
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
11%
9.15
–
Form
Universidad de Concepcion
No recent results on record.
Concepción
No recent results on record.
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Universidad de Concepcion and Concepción.
What is the prediction for Universidad de Concepcion vs Concepción?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Universidad de Concepcion vs Concepción?
On our numbers Universidad de Concepcion have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Concepción 36%.
How many goals will there be in Universidad de Concepcion vs Concepción?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 47% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Universidad de Concepcion vs Concepción?
Our predicted score is Universidad de Concepcion 1–1 Concepción, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Universidad de Concepcion vs Concepción?
Universidad de Concepcion vs Concepción (Primera División) kicks off on Sunday 15 February 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Municipal de Collao.
Analysis by the Footrivo model, blended with bookmaker prices. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
